$BTC

Will Bitcoin Crash to $70K? What the Iran-Israel Conflict Could Mean for the Market

This article isn't meant to create fear—just to present facts and share my take. First, we'll explore the outlook for the next 1–2 months, followed by a short-term analysis. Key points covered:

Iran-Israel Tensions & Market Impact

Potential Fed Rate Cuts

Bitcoin Technical Analysis

BTC & USDT Dominance

My Personal Strategy

1. Iran-Israel Conflict: A Bearish Signal?

Historically, major conflicts like this have triggered market sell-offs—April 2024 is a recent example. A U.S.-backed Israeli strike on Iran could spark panic selling, especially since BTC has surged from $74K to $112K without a healthy correction. A drop to the $65K–$70K range is possible, potentially larger than the last 35–40% dip due to deeper global involvement. In short, the geopolitical outlook looks bearish for the next month or two.

2. Fed Rate Cuts: Bullish News, Bearish Setup

There’s speculation the Fed may cut rates by 100 bps, possibly under political pressure. Initially, that could cause a short-lived spike. But since markets are already at all-time highs, smart money may use it