$BTC 1. U.S. Regulatory Relaxation

The U.S. department that regulates cryptocurrency is called the SEC. Previously, they consistently troubled crypto companies, such as suing Coinbase for allegedly selling 'unregistered securities' (which refers to cryptocurrencies). Now that Trump is in office, the SEC has changed leadership, and the winds have shifted! Those lawsuits that were not considered fraud are likely to be withdrawn, and Coinbase's lawsuit is nearing dismissal. Moreover, companies may be allowed to boldly hold crypto assets in the future. Although new regulations won't come out immediately, as long as everyone feels that regulations will be relaxed in the future, they will be willing to buy Bitcoin, and the price will naturally rise; however, if policy advancement encounters difficulties, the price will be uncertain.

2. War and Tariffs Causing Issues

Recently, Israel has been fighting Iran, causing oil prices to rise by 9%, and gold prices have soared to $3,400 per ounce, leading to a global stock market downturn. At this time, if someone believes Bitcoin can serve as a safe haven, they will rush to buy it, driving the price up; but if panic sets in and everyone frantically sells assets to escape, Bitcoin will also drop. Additionally, the U.S. plans to impose a 50% tariff on steel appliances starting June 23, which will impact global trade; if the economy worsens, there will be fewer people investing in Bitcoin, affecting the price as well.

3. Industry Movements Must Not Be Overlooked

If major players like MicroStrategy continue to buy Bitcoin, market demand will increase, and the price will certainly rise. Furthermore, if more and more stores accept Bitcoin as payment, or if multinational transfers can utilize Bitcoin, it will become even more practical, leading to more buyers and naturally increasing the price.