#以色列伊朗冲突 1. U.S. Regulatory Relaxation

The department regulating cryptocurrency in the U.S. is called the SEC. Previously, they often troubled crypto companies, such as suing Coinbase for allegedly selling "unregistered securities" (which refers to cryptocurrencies). Now that Trump is in office, the SEC has changed leadership, and the wind has shifted! Those lawsuits that were not considered fraud are likely to be withdrawn, and Coinbase's case is close to being dismissed. Furthermore, it may be allowed for companies to boldly hold cryptocurrency assets in the future. Although new regulations may take some time to emerge, as long as everyone feels that regulations will be relaxed in the future, they will be willing to buy Bitcoin, and the price will naturally rise; if policy advancement does not go smoothly, prices will become precarious.

2. Wars and Tariffs Causing Issues

Recently, Israel has been fighting Iran, causing oil prices to rise by 9% and gold prices to soar to $3,400 per ounce, leading to declines in global stock markets. At this time, if some people feel that Bitcoin can serve as a safe haven, they will rush to buy it, driving the price up; however, if panic sets in and everyone frantically sells off assets, Bitcoin will also have to fall. Additionally, on June 23, the U.S. will impose a 50% tariff on steel home appliances, which will affect global trade. In a poor economic climate, fewer people will invest in Bitcoin, thus impacting its price.

3. Industry Developments Cannot Be Overlooked

If large holders like MicroStrategy continue to buy Bitcoin, market demand will increase, and the price will definitely rise. Furthermore, if more and more stores accept Bitcoin for payments, or if international transfers can utilize Bitcoin, then Bitcoin will become even more practical. With more buyers, the price will naturally rise.