Evening market review and early morning market analysis and operational suggestions:

High-level consolidation + bearish sentiment: Need to observe whether there is a volume-price divergence or RSI top divergence at the 4-hour level, enhancing the validity of short signals.

Although there was a rebound in the evening, it did not stretch much, and it remains in a high-level consolidation state. Market sentiment is still leaning towards bearishness, and the hourly downward channel has taken shape. Since it has not broken through the upper level of the horizontal high, it is likely to continue to pull back. The focus remains on looking down in the evening, and remember to maintain defense. If Bitcoin makes a strong stretch and breaks through the upper pressure, it won’t be too late to follow up.

Specific operational suggestions:

- Bitcoin: Layout short positions around 106,000, targeting around 103,000

- Ethereum: Layout short positions around 2,550, targeting around 2,450

Key data monitoring:

1. U.S. ETF net inflows (if exceeding 300 million USD in a single day, it may trigger a breakout)

2. Ethereum Gas price (below 15 gwei may indicate a decrease in network activity)

3. Derivative data: Focus on Bitcoin open interest (currently 8.2 billion USD) in conjunction with price declines to see if it expands.

Current market implied volatility has dropped to 55% (30-day average), and the risk of volatility expansion should be noted. It is recommended to control positions within 3% to avoid liquidity risks on Friday nights. #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税 #币安Alpha理财中心 #加密圆桌讨论 #CPI数据来袭