I rolled over from 500u to 50,000u, and my winning rate in April was as high as 94%
This method has no technical threshold. As long as you follow the steps, you can earn at least 3%-10% more income every day in the later stage!
Method details: Trading in batches and in installments
1.Batch fund management+
Suppose you have 10,000 yuan in funds, divide it into 5 parts, and only use 2,000 yuan of it for each transaction. In this way, even if the market fluctuates, you can still retain funds to deal with emergencies.
2. Test the waters with a small investment
First, use 2,000 to test the waters and buy a currency to test the market trend and avoid the high risk of a full position at one time.
3. Add more positions when the price drops
If the price of the currency drops by 10%, use another 2,000 to increase the position, reduce the holding cost, and wait for a rebound to make a profit.
4. Take profit in time when the price goes up
If the price of the currency rises by 10%, sell part of it immediately to lock in profits and avoid pullbacks caused by greed.
5. Repeat the cycle
Follow this step and keep repeating the "buy-sell-add position" operation until the funds are used up or the currency is completely sold to maximize profits.
Advantages analysis:
Low risk: Funds are invested in batches to control position risk
High flexibility: Adjust operations according to market changes at any time and move forward and backward freely.
We have heard too many legendary stories of "10,000 turning into 1 million":
The reality is that the vast majority of traders are ordinary people
We don't have internal information, no infinite bullets
Without experiencing several rounds of bull and bear markets, and even often being swayed by emotions,
The market has no sympathy for anyone
So, instead of dreaming about getting rich quickly, it is better to learn how to survive first.
So, how to survive in such a market?
The answer is simple: recognize your own position and follow reasonable trading logic. Use rules instead of impulse, use position management + to fight against uncertainty, and use long-term thinking instead of short-term gambling.
Below I have compiled my trading experience over the past twelve years and wrote it to the confused brothers.
The data does not lie: 90% of investors suffered heavy losses due to "catching flying knives" during the crash, while the survivors often only did one thing right - obeying the iron law. This article will use real cases and institutional-level strategies to reveal the core survival rules of crossing the bull energy.
1. Catching a flying knife will eventually cut your hand: the fatal temptation of bottom fishing
When the market plummets, human nature always drives us to look for "gold pits", but the truth is: the essence of bottom fishing in a downward trend is to fight against market inertia.
Hard data from the past five years show that after a single-day drop of more than 10% in Bitcoin, the probability of further decline within 30 days is 67%; 88% of investors who tried to bottom out and cut projects (drop > 50%) suffered a second cut.
Behavioral traps
Anchoring effect +: When BTC falls from 70,000 to 50,000, the brain will set the previous high as the "value anchor point" and ignore the trend break signal. Emotional sustenance: Irrational belief in holding projects (such as heavy holdings in domestic public chains), leading to misjudgment of technical and financial realities
Survival Strategy:
① Three no principles:
Don’t buy the dip if the price drops by 30%
Do not intervene if the trading volume has not shrunk by 70%
Weekly MACD no cash and no action
② Institutional-level bottom-fishing model: It must simultaneously meet the following conditions: a drop of 260%, a 7-day net inflow rate of on-chain whales > 15%, and the stock of stablecoins on exchanges breaking through the annual high.
Blood and tears case: In May 2024, when LINK flash crashed to $3.8, a KOL called for "buying the dip with your eyes closed", and the price eventually fell to $1.2, and the average loss for followers was 91%
2. Strictly abide by the rules: the life and death line of traders
Trading rules are the "bulletproof vest" of funds. Violating the rules is equivalent to actively dismantling the lifeboat.
Neuroscience: Dopamine secretion will increase the urge to modify the rules by 240%, while the probability of subsequent profitable transactions for those who violate the stop-loss rules will drop by 58%.
Six-dimensional architecture
1.1. Single loss ≤ 2% of total principal;
2.2. Exit the market when the daily trend is broken;
3.3. When volatility > 80%, leverage of more than 5x is disabled:
4.4. When the panic index is <20, short orders are prohibited;
5.5. Automatically reduce holdings by 50% when profit reaches 2 times of ATR
6.6. If you suffer three consecutive losses, you will be forced to rest for 72 hours
Counter-example warning: A miner originally planned to stop loss when BTC fell below the MA120 moving average (72,000), but after the actual breakout, he changed his plan to "resist another 5%", and finally sold his losses at 63,000, resulting in an additional loss of $137,000
3. Never Go All In: Say “No” to Black Swans
The essence of full-position operation is to sign a "sale contract" to the black swan of the market
Probability Proof
Even if the strategy with 70% accuracy is fully operated, the probability of liquidation after three consecutive failures is >65%;
The average annual loss rate for full-warehouse users is -47%, while that for split-warehouse users is +12%
Position jump sound urn saint huang ruo chu captive ó taboo shuang ≦ has been xiao ㄓ error
Kelly formula optimization: when the winning rate is 60% and the profit-loss ratio is 2:1, the upper limit of the position is 40%;
Three-stage position building method +: first position 20% (trend confirmation) - second position increase 15% (breakthrough resistance) - final position increase 10% (trend acceleration)
Gold Model:
Perpetual contract single position ≤5% of the principal;
The maximum position of a spot order is ≤15%;
Cross-sector dispersion (public chain 40% + storage 25% + Depin 35%)
Bitter lesson: In 2023, a user bet all his money on a certain exchange platform currency, but encountered a regulatory crackdown and his savings went to zero in a single day, and his ten years of savings evaporated in an instant.
The synergistic power of the three laws
. Refuse to accept the flying knife and avoid irrational selling!
Strictly abide by the rules 1. Build a decision-making firewall;
·Warehouse management - Forging survival armor.
Data confirms: Traders who abide by these three rules at the same time will only have a maximum drawdown of 8.7% in the 2023-2024 bear market, and their annualized returns will outperform BTC by 156%
Conclusion
In the cryptocurrency world, profits can be multiplied, but the loss of principal is irreversible. The real winner is not the prediction master, but the believer in the rules. Remember: the bull market is a carnival of profits, and the bear market is a battlefield for principal.
Original statement: The data in this article are all from publicly available information and do not constitute investment advice. The market is risky and decisions must be made with caution.
The bull market will soon pass, please cherish your time. If you don’t understand some new technologies in the circle, don’t know which coin to choose, and want more information channels or insider information, please visit [Official Account: Trend Prediction] to join the largest community in the coin circle and share passwords every day!
It can be said that I have used 80% of the methods and techniques in the market. In addition to the above nine formulas, there is also the most practical one in actual combat - the five-day line strategy, which is one of the necessary skills for short-term and swing trading. It is also the simplest and most practical short-term strategy, and it is also practical for contracts. 30%-50% profit in a month. It has been tried and tested!
First, what is the five-day line?
It refers to the average of the transaction price of a currency for 5 days, referred to as MA(5). It sounds strange, but it is actually the 5-day moving average. Is it simple? The 5-day line is also called the 5-day moving average.
What is the moving average?
Moving average is the abbreviation of moving average, which reflects the average cost of the public holding currency over a period of time, and can also reflect the strength and trend of the currency price.
The moving average indicator is the simplest and most practical indicator among the technical analysis indicators. Because of this, it is easier for investors to master this indicator. Simple things are often the most practical and can bring unexpected benefits to investors.
