ETH hangs in the balance at 2527! Tonight at 8 PM, the fate of 1 billion in funds will be decided
1. Core Market Signal Interpretation
Price Game on the Edge of a Cliff: Current price is 2529, close to the lower Bollinger Band at 2527, leaving only a $2 space. If a strong rebound occurs, it may replicate the 6% bounce from May 29.Key Details: The lower band moves up $10 daily; if sideways movement continues, support will be passively raised to 2530.
MACD Hidden Signals: Green bar -72.50 compared to the previous value of -85.00 shows a 15% decrease, with divergence signals suggesting major players are accumulating. Referencing the June 7 rebound: green bar contraction led to a 4% increase in 24 hours.
Moving Average Constraining Dilemma: The 5-day moving average is pressured at 2570, and the 10-day moving average is locked at 2620.
Breakthrough requirements: ① Hourly trading volume > 25,000 ETH; ② USDT premium rate > 0.4%; ③ $100 million shorts set up at 2600.
2. News Nuclear Bomb Breakdown
Positive News: BlackRock ETF net inflow of $100 million; Vitalium hard fork upgrade imminent.
Negative News: The Federal Reserve dot plot indicates one interest rate cut this year; Mt.Gox address activity.
3. Main Funds Covert Warfare LogicGiant whale "0x37c" purchased 25,000 ETH @ 2530, precisely positioning at the lower band.
Exchange ETH balance decreased by 2.5%, reaching a new high for the month.
Intent: Betting on an upgrade trend after a shaky washout.
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