#以色列伊朗冲突

⚔️ Conflict Overview

• Israel launches large-scale preemptive airstrikes

On June 12, Israel initiated airstrikes named “Operation Rising Lion,” with the first wave targeting Iran's nuclear facilities, missile bases, and the residences of several high-ranking military leaders and scientists. Among those successfully killed were Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Commander Hossein Salami, the Chief of Staff, and multiple nuclear scientists.

• Iran swiftly retaliates

In response to Israel's attack, Iran immediately launched approximately 100 drones against Israel, with most incoming targets successfully intercepted by Israel's air defense system.

• Mobilization and airspace lockdown by both sides

Israel closed its domestic airspace and entered a state of maximum alert. Neighboring countries such as Jordan, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia also blocked or intercepted Iranian drones flying over their airspace.

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🌍 International Reactions and Impact

• Regional diplomatic calls for restraint

Countries including China, the UK, France, Japan, and Saudi Arabia have called for both sides to exercise restraint and avoid losing control of the situation.

• US Position

Although not participating in the attack, the US has evacuated personnel from its Middle Eastern embassies, and US officials have urged Iran not to attack US facilities, while encouraging negotiations to continue.

• Oil prices and market volatility

International crude oil prices surged by over 6%, with the market experiencing increased volatility due to rising geopolitical risks.

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🔍 Underlying Factors and Future Observations

• Heightened nuclear threat concerns

Israel claims that Iran has enriched enough material to produce several nuclear weapons and asserts that Iran is nearing the threshold for weaponization, stating that this operation is a self-defense action to prevent its rapid nuclearization.

• Negotiations and diplomatic efforts hindered

The actions occurred on the eve of US-Iran nuclear negotiations in Oman, and this move may cause a disruption in diplomatic talks.

• Risk of full-scale war rising

According to reliable intelligence, Iran may immediately escalate its retaliation, and Israel has also indicated that it will continue its attacks. The spillover effects of regional military conflicts may impact Lebanon, Syria, and the safety of maritime shipping in the Red Sea.