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🟢 What just happened?

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🧭 Why now?

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🗓️ Context & how we got here

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Proxy escalations:

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⚠️ Risks and wider consequences

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Diplomatic fallout: This strike may further derail nuclear negotiations and invites international pressure for de-escalation.

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🔍 The big picture

This conflict is part of a long-running “shadow war” with periodic escalations, fought through proxies, cyber tactics, and targeted strikes. What’s different now:

Israel feels urgent, citing the nuclear clock and faltering diplomacy.

Iran's regional proxies are weakened, opening a strategic window.

The U.S. no longer provides public assurance—a shift with major implications.

Both sides seem careful to avoid all-out war, but miscalculations could spiral into regional chaos.

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In summary, June 13 marks a critical turning point: Israel’s bold move to delay or derail Iran’s nuclear aspirations—done with more overt backing than ever before—carries immense risks. The region now holds its breath.

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Let me know if you'd like a deeper dive into any aspect (e.g., Iran's nuclear plants, regional proxies, U.S. policy, economic fallout).