On the morning of 8 AM on $BTC , a shocking news broke the tranquility of the world: Israel launched an airstrike on Iran. As soon as the news broke, the financial markets were instantly stirred, especially in the cryptocurrency sector, where investors' nerves were tightly strung. Ethereum, the leader of digital currencies, seemed to touch a high of $2800 in that moment, which then triggered a wave of astonishment in the market—was this a signal of a peak? Is the cryptocurrency market about to face a new round of major declines?

In the face of such a sudden event, many people's first reaction may be panic. After all, military conflicts have always been seen as a 'black swan' for financial markets, and the uncertainty they bring is often enough to cause asset prices to fluctuate instantly. However, when we calm down and carefully examine history and reality, we may find that things are not so simple.

Looking back over the past few years, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has lasted quite a long time. Although there were indeed short-term violent fluctuations in the market at the beginning of the conflict, over time, investors gradually learned how to find balance amid such uncertainty. Similarly, the friction between Israel and Iran is not a new issue. Although these conflicts often tug at the nerves of the world, in the long river of financial markets, they no longer seem to be the 'bombshells' that could trigger widespread turmoil.

So why can the news of Israel's airstrike on Iran still cause a huge uproar in the cryptocurrency sector? This may be intricately linked to the current market trend. In a bear market environment, any negative news can become the last straw that breaks the camel's back, triggering a complete market collapse. However, in the current bull market context, the situation is different. Although news of conflicts can still trigger short-term market fluctuations, major funds often use this news to manipulate market trends and create a specific market atmosphere.

In such a market atmosphere, many investors are bound by a kind of inertia thinking. They firmly believe that once prices rise, a major decline is inevitable. This obsession is particularly common in the cryptocurrency sector, to the extent that many people are eager to 'short' and profit as soon as they see even slight price fluctuations. However, the reality is often not that simple.