Israel-Iran Conflict, End of Bull Market or Bottom Fishing Opportunity?
This conflict seems quite alarming, but it is likely just a short-term event. Referring to the situation in April 2024, we can infer a clear logical line:
2024 Timeline Review (Key Logic):
April 12: Rumors emerge, market drops initially (investors get scared and flee)
April 13: Iran actually strikes, market drops again (panic intensifies)
April 14-18: Market remains stagnant, waiting for Israel's response (the most agonizing phase)
April 18: Israel exercises restraint in retaliation, does not escalate the war, market surges (crisis averted)
Final result: Conflict turns into "limited strikes + temporary ceasefire," market rebounds.
So what about the current situation? It's a similar script:
Explosive news = market panic and decline
Israel takes action = but does not bomb core targets
Iran's response = but still not a full-scale war
All parties' attitudes = leaning towards "limited responses" to prevent escalation
Therefore, it resembles a "geopolitical noise" from 2024, not the starting point of a war.
Rational reasoning + Strategic advice
Current decline: short-term emotional reaction
Conflict rhythm: low likelihood of escalation
Market outlook: short-term panic → stabilization → rebound
The best buying opportunity is during panic, not after a rebound when chasing highs
Are you positioning yourself during the emotional low?
Or chasing gains after the news calms down?