Current price: 143.23 USDT Timeframe: 2 hours
🟩 LONG STRATEGY
📌 Entry Conditions:
The price has reached the zone of 140.74–143.23, which corresponds to level 0.0 on Fibonacci.
RSI (26.48) in deep oversold → high probability of a technical rebound.
Price at the lower boundary of Bollinger Bands (142.49) — classical rebound zone.
MACD is still bearish, but possibly forming a reversal divergence.
✅ Entry:
From 140.74 to 143.20 (upon confirmation of the signal — pattern, candle, volume).
📈 Take Profit Goals:
TP1: 150.65 (0.5 Fibo)
TP2: 153.02 (0.62 Fibo)
TP3: 154.70–156.89 (0.705–0.79)
TP4: 160.55 (1.0 Fibo)
🛡️ Stop-Loss:
Below the level of $135.00 (–0.27) or aggressively below $140.00.
🟥 SHORT STRATEGY
📌 Entry Conditions:
The current trend remains strongly bearish — all MAs (7/25/99) are above the price.
Ichimoku Cloud above — price is deep under the cloud.
MACD continues bearish movement.
Volumes are increasing on the decline, there is no reversal volume.
✅ Entry:
After the retest of the resistance level: 150.65–153.00 — zone of probable correction.
Or break of support level: 140.74 — confirmation of structure breakdown.
📉 Take Profit Goals:
TP1: 135.39 (–0.27 Fibo)
TP2: 128.45 (–0.62 Fibo)
TP3: 121.00 (–1.0 Fibo)
TP4: 118.80 (–1.618 Fibo)
🛡️ Stop-Loss:
Above the level of 153.00 or 156.89, depending on the entry point.
⚖️ COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF PROBABILITIES
Parameter Long Short
RSI Oversold ⛔ (not in favor of short)
Bollinger Bands Lower Bound ⛔ (rebound probable)
MACD Bearish ✅ in favor of short
MA and Ichimoku cloud Below all lines ✅ confirms downward
Fibonacci level At level 0.0 🔄 may give a rebound
Volumes Increased on decline ✅ in favor of short
Overall trend structure Downward ✅
📌 SUMMARY: PRIORITY STRATEGY — 🔻 SHORT
Why:
Market structure — stable downward trend.
No reversal volume, MACD is strongly negative.
Price below all moving averages and Ichimoku cloud.
A rebound is possible, but so far without confirmations.
🧠 Recommendations:
Do not enter long until a confirming signal appears: candlestick pattern on daily or 4H + RSI exits oversold.
Ideal short — from retest 150.6–153.0 + confirmation of deviation.
If the price breaks $140.74 and holds below — short is confirmed. ✔️ If this strategy was useful to you — I would appreciate your support and feedback!#sol
