U.S. and Israeli officials told Axios that the U.S. has made it clear to Israel: If it launches strikes against Iranian nuclear facilities, the U.S. will not participate in joint operations, and Israel will need to bear the military actions alone. Trump also confirmed that this move by Israel 'is very likely to happen' — but the U.S. will only provide defensive support and will not intervene in ground or bombing operations.



Why is the situation so urgent? Interplay of nuclear negotiations and military deployments


  • U.S. envoy Eli Wiesel plans to travel to Oman on Sunday to talk with Iran in an attempt to reach a new nuclear agreement. If Iran refuses, the U.S. assesses it may abandon diplomatic routes.


  • Israel's Ministry of Defense is on high alert, and if negotiations break down, military strikes will be initiated rapidly.


  • Although Trump calls on Israel to avoid damaging negotiation opportunities, he emphasizes that he will ensure the protection of U.S. military personnel and diplomats in the region.



Can it breach Fordow? The U.S. attitude determines the limitations of Israel's military capabilities


  • The U.S. not participating in bombings means Israel will lack B-2/B-52 strategic bombing capability, making it difficult to deeply strike buried nuclear facilities.


  • Analysis suggests Israel may repeatedly carry out 'precision strikes' on the same target, but the effectiveness and destructive power remain questionable.



How will Iran respond? A regional storm is imminent


  • Iran vows to directly strike Israel and U.S. bases in the region in retaliation. The U.S. military has withdrawn non-core personnel and family members from bases in Iraq, Kuwait, and other Middle Eastern locations.


  • Israel has entered a 'special emergency state,' with frequent air raid warnings and missile alerts; the situation between both sides is on the brink of confrontation.

The U.S. faces immense pressure on diplomatic and political fronts


  • Trump calls for 'Iran cannot have nuclear weapons,' but also expresses expectations for reaching an agreement.


  • Divided voices in domestic politics; the MAGA faction and Trump's core camp worry that involvement in strikes could harm their re-election chances and electoral prospects.



What impact does this have on the U.S. economy and the crypto market?


Short-term: A surge in geopolitical risks may trigger global risk-averse sentiment, strengthening the dollar while putting pressure on stock markets and crypto assets.

Medium-term: If the conflict escalates, oil supply may be disrupted, energy price fluctuations may pose inflation risks, and investors may prefer safe-haven assets, while cryptocurrencies may experience severe volatility.

Long-term: If an agreement is reached and policies are clear, it will help restore market confidence and stabilize the dollar's position; however, if conflicts persist, it may reinforce Bitcoin's 'digital gold' attribute, becoming a tool to hedge against uncertainty.



How to identify turning points amidst turmoil? Mlion.ai provides answers


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With Mlion.ai, you don't need to follow news or market sentiment fluctuations one by one; AI will help you clarify variables and potential 'entry points.'



Summary


  • Israel is prepared to 'go solo' in attacking Iranian nuclear facilities on Sunday; the U.S. will not directly participate in the war.


  • Regional tensions may disturb global markets in the near term;


  • Economic hedging and expectations of rising crude oil prices will exacerbate volatility in crypto assets;


  • Supplemented withMlion.ai's smart tools, you can find strategies and layouts amidst high uncertainty


Disclaimer: The above content is for informational sharing only and does not constitute any investment advice! The cryptocurrency market is highly risky; please make informed decisions after thorough research!