【ETH Whale Gamble】"25x Short at $2780! Is the 'Invincible Myth' Going to Flip This Time?"
1. Crazy Bet
Nuclear-level Position:
Invested $5 million USDC as margin, leveraging 25x to create a nominal position of $61.03 million
Shorting 21,900 ETH at an opening price of $2780, liquidation line at $2948
This is the first time this whale has implemented a high-leverage short at a key resistance level
Historical Performance:
Previously, all 11 shorts were profitable, with an average holding time of only 3.2 hours
Common Tactics: Flash strikes when ETH/BTC exchange rate is high
2. Danger Signals
Technical Contradictions:
The current ETH daily MACD golden cross is emerging, with the Bollinger Band middle line at $2765 forming support
The whale chooses to short at the lower end of the ascending channel, diverging from technical indicators
Market Environment Drastic Changes:
Ethereum spot ETFs have seen a net inflow for 17 consecutive days, accumulating over $500 million
On-chain data shows support for 2.1 million ETH accumulated in the $2700-$2760 range
3. Long-Short Game Simulation
▶ Bearish Scenario:
If ETH fails to break through the $2850 resistance level, it may retest the $2650-$2600 range
Whale's Goal: Use CPI data release to create panic, triggering a chain liquidation of long positions
▶ Bullish Counterattack:
Breaking $2950 will trigger $16 million in short liquidations, potentially pushing the price to challenge the psychological level of $3000
Key Variable: If tonight's US CPI data is lower than expected, it may act as a catalyst for bulls
4. Veteran's View
"It's like playing Russian roulette at the volcano's mouth—What seems like precise calculation is actually betting on market sentiment.
Three Deadly Risks:
① Excessive leverage; a 4% price fluctuation can lead to liquidation;
② Continuous inflow of spot ETF funds forming a hedge;
③ The whale's address recently staked 32,000 ETH, suspected to be a hedging operation."
If you want to make money, don’t be a lone warrior! Follow me, comment and tell me your thoughts, let’s seize the opportunity for massive profits in the bull market
