When rate cuts collide with sovereign accumulation of coins

100,000 USD

Just a fueling station for the BTC bull market!

News:

Three fires ignite the June market

Expectations for rate cuts heat up: U.S. May CPI only rose by 0.1%, reinforcing September rate cut expectations.

Historical patterns show that during periods of liquidity easing, BTC can increase by 40%+ (referencing the 2024 rate cut cycle).

If the Fed turns dovish, institutional capital may accelerate into ETFs, targeting directly at 111,000 USD.

Sovereign accumulation of coins: Trump includes Bitcoin in the U.S. strategic reserves, Pakistan launches a national mining farm, with both countries leading the national teams in bottom fishing. Sovereign recognition pushes BTC from a speculative asset to a strategic reserve, with whale accounts continuously accumulating.

Institutional FOMO: Morgan Stanley opens spot trading, Strategy increases holdings of billions of dollars in BTC;

Stablecoin giant Circle lists on NYSE (valuation of 7.2 billion USD), injecting mid-term confidence into the market.

Technical analysis:

A pullback is an opportunity to get on board

Key price levels:

Support: 105,000 USD (4-hour MA50 + previous low overlap), if broken, look for strong support at 103,000 USD;

Resistance: 110,000 USD (psychological barrier), after breaking, the target is 115,000-120,000 USD.

Indicator signals:

Bollinger Bands: Opening upwards, price stabilizing at the middle band (~107,000), bulls in control;

MACD: Death cross but momentum nearing zero (-0.00), bears are exhausted, high suspicion of a fake breakdown;

On-chain data: Long-term holders (LTH) selling pressure drops sharply by 89%, with a cost price of 97,600 USD as a new bottom; retail investors taking profits does not affect the overall trend.

Operation summary: Current price strategy (around 108,598):

Holders: Maintain positions above 105,000 USD, reduce positions below 103,000;

Getting on board: Accumulate in batches when it pulls back to the 105,000-107,000 range, aiming for a breakout at 110,000.

Targets and risk control:

Short-term: 110,000 → Breakout chase up to 115,000;

Medium-term: Rate cuts + ETF capital flow resonance, looking at 120,000 (by the end of June);

Stop loss: Exit if the volume breaks below 103,000, to prevent a deep pullback to 97,000.

As long as the pullback doesn't break the bottom, it's a signal from the main force for you to get on board! In June, close your eyes and copy the work, just a click away from perfect bottoming and topping!!!$BTC #BTC走势分析