$BTC

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📅 June 11, 2025

BTC/U 1-Hour Chart Short Position Analysis (Simple and Practical)

(For reference only, not constituting investment advice)

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💥 Current Price: 109,396U

The market is consolidating at a high level, with weak upward momentum and reduced trading volume, indicating a short-term need for a downward retracement, presenting short position opportunities.

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📉 Technical Structure Analysis:

✅ Double Top Structure Emerging

• The upper range (yellow line) around 110,200 has failed to push higher repeatedly, forming a double top;

• The neckline is around 109,200; once broken, the structure is confirmed.

✅ EMA Signal

• EMA20 has been crossed below, and the price has not retraced above, indicating weakness;

• EMA55 (blue line) is a key short-term defense point; once breached, it is likely to enter a retracement phase.

✅ Volume & MACD

• Decreasing volume indicates that the bulls are starting to lose strength;

• MACD bearish crossover downwards, momentum bars turning red, indicating follow-through bearish momentum.

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📌 Short Position Strategy Reference (as set in the chart):

Item Value Description

Entry Point 109,417U Weakness after false breakout, entry point for short position

Stop Loss 109,750U Stop loss if it breaks above 110,000

Target Point 108,483U Referencing previous support zone, take partial profits

📊 Risk-Reward Ratio approximately 3.12:1, clear position, controllable risk.

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⚠️ Risk Control Reminder:

• If it breaks below the 108,500 area, the market is expected to test lower;

• If there is a rebound during low trading volume, be cautious of false bullish traps;

• It is not advised to chase shorts; consider entering only after a retracement.

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📌 In a nutshell:

This is currently a good window for short positions at high levels, key to watch if 109,200 can be effectively broken.