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$DXY has now reached the same level as April 2022. Back then, DXY was in an uptrend while the crypto market was in a bear market. This time, DXY is in a downtrend while crypto market is in its most bullish year (post-halving year). The current DXY dump looks similar to Q3/Q4 2020, which send BTC and alts to new highs. The only difference is Fed isn't doing QE now, but global M2 supply is rising. All we need is a bullish catalyst and liquidity will flow into risk-on assets.
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$BTC has always pumped after the golden cross. In Q3 2023, BTC pumped 48.62%. In Q1 2024, BTC pumped 118%. In Q4 2024, BTC pumped 64.92%. Even if the worst-case scenario happens (48.62% pump), BTC will trade above $150K. And in the best-case scenario (118% pump), BTC will pump above $200K.
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There are 2 major levels in BTC, which I'm watching right now. First one is around $103.8K-$104K, which has nearly $700M in long liquidation leverage. The 2nd level is $106.5K-$107K, which has nearly $1B in short liquidation leverage. Right now, BTC is back above $106K. But I don't trust Sunday pumps. IMO, BTC could retest $104K level again the coming days before reversal towards a new ATH.
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Connect the dots,$KERNEL is gearing up!!
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Iran-Israel and Russia-Ukraine war is on-going. 10-yr bond yields are above 4.5% and 30-yr bond yields are nearing 5%. US tariffs are at its highest level in 100 years. Oil prices are up nearly 40% in Q2. Powell is consistently delaying rate cuts while continuing the QT program. The Buffett indicator is calling for the most overvalued market ever. Moody has downgraded US debt. And yet, BTC is down just 6% from its ATH. If you still don't think crypto is going to take over, you need to rethink your decisions.
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