Well... here we go again with the news. Again, hopes. And then everything goes back to normal.
The USA and China are talking about normalizing relations. Negotiations, visits, diplomatic smiles. Supposedly — a step towards stabilization, towards reducing tension. But in reality, everything is precarious. This is not friendship. This is a breather between strikes.
The economies are interdependent, yes. But there is no trust.
China is increasing its influence in Asia and Africa. The USA is strengthening alliances and exporting politics. Chips, rare earths, artificial intelligence, Taiwan — on each of these fronts, conflict simmers.
Prospects? Short term: yes, markets may take a slight breath. Long term: the global trend towards separating supply chains and technological autonomy will continue.
And that means — there will be more uncertainty. And more noise. More statements. More sanctions, subsidies, and blockades.
So don't be deluded. Normalization is just a pause.
And then — geopolitics again, stakes again, cold winds again. Only the smiles will be a bit more frequent. And even that — not for long.