No more imitation seasons? In the future, the big pie can only be made into T, mainly low long and high short?
Three Insights of Trading
First Insight: Jump Out of the 'Win Rate Trap'
Many beginners are obsessed with pursuing 'buy and it rises', but after truly entering the field, they will find that even with a win rate of 50%, as long as the profit-loss ratio is 3:1 (for example, losing 1 time loses 100, winning 1 time earns 300), they can still profit in the long run. It's like tossing a coin; winning 3 bucks on heads and losing 1 buck on tails, even with a 50% win rate, you can still make money — the key is not to gamble on low-probability events for the sake of 'winning chances'.
Second Insight: Treat Losses as 'Trading Tickets'
Stop-loss is not 'giving up', but buying 'insurance' for the system. For example, in trend trading, using 2% of the capital as a stop-loss line, even if you hit the stop-loss 5 times in a row, the capital only loses 10%, but as long as you catch one trend, the profit can cover 10 losses. It's like wearing a seatbelt while driving; not wearing it might seem 'convenient', but if an accident happens, it can be fatal.
Third Insight: Say Goodbye to 'Gambler's Mindset'
Heavy betting is like using all your savings to buy lottery tickets; occasional wins can lead people to mistakenly believe it’s 'skill', but one failure will bring you back to zero. Real experts operate like a factory assembly line, using fixed positions and fixed strategies to repeat operations, for instance, trading with only 5% of the capital each time, even with a 60% win rate, they can build a big snowball through compounding. It’s like farming; it’s not about one season's bumper harvest, but about working consistently every spring and autumn.
Final Closure: Effort is 'Physical Work', Insight is 'Mental Work' Effort is analyzing thousands of K-lines and backtesting hundreds of strategies to turn others' 'insights' into your muscle memory; Insight is seeing the human nature game through the ups and downs, such as understanding the counterintuitive logic of 'when the market panics, while others cut losses, I build positions'.
Just like a chef cooking, following a recipe is effort, but being able to adjust the taste based on the heat is insight — trading is never a 'flash of inspiration', but a flower blooming from the cognition watered with sweat.