The chart shows BTCUSDT, 6h time frame, and a key divergence is forming with potential movement in both directions. The chart contains elements of volume profile, Ichimoku, Bollinger, Fibonacci, as well as scenario arrows indicating movement.
📊 Key technical data:
Current price: $105,319
RSI (12h): 52.98 — neutral zone
MACD: crosses upward, possible bullish impulse
Parabolic SAR: below price — bullish signal
Ichimoku: price at the upper boundary of the cloud, possible breakout
Volume profile: activity around $104k–105.5k, above — low liquidity zone (possibility of a "surge")
Bollinger: candles are outside the upper boundary — possible overheating
📈 Scenario 1 — Bullish scenario:
If the price consolidates above $105,878 and does not return to the consolidation zone:
🔼 Target 1: $107,956
🔼 Target 2: $109,025
🔼 Target 3: $110,656 (main growth target — +6.59%)
Confirmation: breakout and consolidation above the resistance zone $105.9–106.0k, volume on the breakout, maintaining SAR position.
📉 Scenario 2 — Bearish scenario:
If the price cannot overcome the resistance at $105.8k and forms a "double top":
🔽 TP1: $104,000 (0.618 Fibo)
🔽 TP2: $102,515 (1.618 Fibo)
🔽 TP3: $100,437 (2.618 Fibo) — full short realization
🔽 Potential drop: −3.22% to −6.34%
Confirmation: bounce from the level $105.8–106k + breakout of trend support (see black diagonal on the chart) and entry into the Ichimoku cloud.
📌 Levels to watch:
Level Type Value
$105,878 Key resistance Upper boundary of the fib/cloud
$104,839–104,437 Fibo grid Support cluster
$102,515 Fibo extension 1.618 Short target
$101,231 Horizontal cluster Potential retest of the level
📌 Summary:
Scenario Probability Potential
Up (breakout at $106k) 🟢 Moderately high +6.5%
Down (pullback from resistance) 🟠 Average −3% to −6%
