I came across an old brother deeply involved in the believe project @0xlong_life and watched his series of analyses on the believe project.

Interestingly, facing the same information, different people can have very different perspectives and conclusions.

From my point of view, I gave up on analysis related to 'big players' and 'conspiracies' a long time ago. Now, when I buy a coin, I basically don't look at wallets and capital flows.

Feng Ge's narrative is that dupe, buddy, and yapper are all heavily invested, and can only lift kled as the leader. However, my conclusion based purely on surface information is that kled should be the leader.

So what is the truth? It's hard to say clearly.

My version of the story is this:

I believe the birth of a golden dog requires a combination of timing, location, and people. Timing refers to macro factors (such as liquidity levels in the crypto space, the state of the believe platform, and the current narrative in the sector), location refers to the quality/elements of the project itself, and people refer to various big players and traffic promoters.

Timing is fluid, but changes in timing are relatively slow. Rising and falling trends both require a process, which gives you enough time to notice their occurrence. As the saying goes, fortunes change, and next year it will be my turn.

Location is relatively fixed. The positioning of the project, the vision and ability of the team, are what they are. Strengths will remain, and weaknesses are hard to change.

People are the most flexible part; big players are well-informed and quick to act, going wherever they want.

So I focus on the timing and location parts, completely giving up on focusing on people. Observe the sky, find the ground, and wait for the people to come.

Can I only look at the big players? I think it is completely feasible. Wherever the big player goes, you go, which means the big player helps you choose the timing and location, the only challenge is whether you can keep up and stay close.

In the public market game, everyone shows their skills, all paths lead to the same goal, which is the most interesting part.