This "cryptocurrency trading method" is essentially high-risk speculative logic wrapped in "cyclical thinking". The core vulnerabilities and risks must be heeded:
1. Ignoring the inherent risks of the cryptocurrency market
• The cryptocurrency market (especially contracts) is fundamentally a zero-sum game. With high leverage (such as 1000 times), even minor price fluctuations can lead to liquidation. The "risk control value" may fail in extreme market conditions (such as flash crashes or outages).
• The premise in the text of "making 100 times profit with 10x/5x leverage" is based on the assumption of "being correct every time". However, the market is unpredictable in the short term, and historical volatility data (such as the fluctuation points of Bitcoin at different price levels) cannot be used to predict future trends.
2. The fatal contradiction of the "cyclical strategy"
• Position management paradox: "buying more when it drops" requires unlimited funds to support it. If you continue to buy more with a principal of 3000 yuan during a downward trend, you will quickly face liquidation due to insufficient margin (e.g., with 10x leverage, a 10% drop will reduce the principal to zero).
• Vague take-profit and stop-loss: Judgments based solely on "small cycle bottoms/target prices" lack quantitative risk control (such as position proportion and maximum drawdown tolerance). It is essentially subjective conjecture rather than a strategy.
3. Anti-intellectual logic: denying compound interest, believing in "brutal doubling"
• There is nothing wrong with compound interest, but its prerequisite is "low risk and sustainable profit". In the highly volatile cryptocurrency contract market, the foundation for the "stability" of the compound interest model does not exist.
• The logic in the text of "making money off the foolish through cycles" implies the arrogance of believing "I am smarter than the market"—retail investors are inherently disadvantaged in terms of information, capital, and tools, and blindly amplifying cycles may cause them to miss stop-loss opportunities.
Final Reminder
Any claim of a cryptocurrency trading "method" that guarantees "100 times profit" is fundamentally a way to harvest anxiety using "anti-common sense theories". 99% of people in the cryptocurrency market ultimately incur losses, and the core reason is that they challenge probabilities with a gambling mentality and fantasize about short-term speculation to break class barriers.
With a principal of 3000 yuan, what should be done is to learn basic financial management (such as investing in index funds) and improve one's own abilities—the true "breakthrough" is never in high-risk gambling but in solid cognitive accumulation.
Staying away from leverage and respecting the market is the greatest clarity for ordinary people.
