BTC has rebounded as I expected, peaking above 105,000, and is approaching the 20-day moving average.

From the volume-price relationship, the trading volume during yesterday's rebound was relatively small, indicating that buying pressure is relatively weak. Therefore, the probability of breaking through the 20-day moving average and continuing to rise is relatively low, while the probability of continuing to decline under the pressure of the 20-day moving average is relatively high.