Starting from 100,000 dollars or waterfall countdown? 106800 becomes the life and death line for bulls and bears 🔥
📢 News is turbulent, and technical alerts are ringing — BTC's showdown is imminent!
News: Three major benefits against two major risks
Policy winds are fiercely blowing
Oklahoma passes the “Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Act,” allowing the state government to allocate 10% of funds to buy BTC, adding fuel to institutional entry 110!
Trump's camp strongly promotes “Made in America” crypto ETF, which may ignite a new wave of institutional FOMO in the long term!
✅ Expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts are rising
If June CPI weakens, rate cuts may restart soon, and liquidity flood could directly push BTC higher! But beware of the short-term black swan from April tariff escalation 🦢.
✅ Whales are crazily bottom-fishing
The holding proportion of the top 100 addresses continues to rise, with 270 million dollars in long positions appearing on the Hyperliquid platform, indicating clear intentions of big players to accumulate at low prices!
⚠️ But be careful! Two major risks lurking
106800 strong pressure remains unbroken, bullish momentum is questionable!
April tariffs disturbance may impact short-term market sentiment!
⚡ Technical analysis: Bulls and bears' decisive battle is about to break out
📊 Key levels determine life and death
104300 (Bollinger Band middle track): Staying above = bullish, falling below = bearish!
106800 (previous high neck line): Volume breakout = trend reversal, resistance = pullback risk!
📉 Is the MACD golden cross a trap?
Although there is a golden cross, it is below the zero axis, and the strength of the rebound is questionable! Needs volume confirmation!
💥 Support and resistance
🛡️ Strong support: 103400 (bullish lifeline), losing it = probing 102000!
🚀 Strong resistance: 111980 (previous high), breaking through requires massive volume support!
🛠️ Rescue guide for being trapped: Three steps to turn the tide
1️⃣ Supplement positions at low levels (position ≤ 50%)
Gradually buy near 103400 to average down (e.g., if trapped at 104372 → cost drops to 103800 after averaging down)!
2️⃣ Sell high and buy low (essential for volatile markets)
Trade within the 104500-105500 range, earning 2%-3% each time, gradually lowering the cost!
3️⃣ Hedging tool (dual-coin financial management)
Set a strike price of 104000: Buy more coins below, guarantee 4%-5% profit above!
Urgent reminder: For positions > 70%, prioritize reducing to 50% at highs, keeping bullets for right-side signals!
Market outlook: Starting from 100,000 dollars or waterfall countdown?
Bullish scenario: Break through 106800 → hit 111980 → kick off a new bull market!
Bearish scenario: Fall below 103400 → deeply probe 102000 → beware of a chain of liquidations!
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