📉 $BTC (2025-06-07 08:45) ｜ Long/Short Trend Index: 48 / 100 (Neutral to Bearish)

Price rebound momentum is insufficient, short-term repair but not out of the adjustment structure.

🔹 Multi-Period K-line Trend Brief:

15-minute chart: MACD death cross, rebound meets resistance and falls back, oscillation is weak;

1-hour chart: short-term bottom rebound repair, price returns near MA25, insufficient volume support;

4-hour chart: rebound after stopping the decline, in the middle-lower track of the box, has not reversed the downward trend;

Daily chart: consecutive small increases, MACD still declining, weak repair;

Weekly chart: overall upward structure has not been broken, but momentum is weakening, technical correction continues.

📈 Technical Indicator Overview:

MACD: Golden cross recovery in various periods, still in the weak range above 4H;

RSI: 15m close to 50, 1H rises to 55, daily oscillating around 50, weekly maintains neutral strong;

Moving Averages: Short-term moving averages have crossed multiple times without forming a trend, still suppressed by medium to long term;

Volume: Daytime rebound volume decreases, selling pressure lightens but buying is hesitant.

🌐 Important News Summary (including sources):

1. High-level talks between China and the US, both sides agree to resume trade negotiations and plan to hold bilateral meetings (Source: Washington Post, June 5, 2025)

2. Musk and Trump publicly erupt in a fierce dispute, Musk criticizes Trump's "Big Beautiful Plan" as a "disgusting monster" and calls for the impeachment of the president (Source: New York Post, June 5, 2025)

3. Musk accuses Trump of having links to Jeffrey Epstein, claiming his name appears in Epstein's documents (Source: Page Six, June 5, 2025)

4. Trump threatens to cancel government contracts for Musk’s companies, Musk responds by stopping SpaceX's Dragon spacecraft project (Source: Reuters, June 5, 2025)

📊 Trend Summary:

The current rebound strength is limited, the overall structure is still weakly repairing, and an effective upward attack has not yet formed. Remain cautious in the short term, waiting for the confirmation of the golden cross of the 1H/4H moving averages.

⛔ Currently, it is not recommended to hold long positions, continue to observe mainly to prevent false breakout and fallback risks.

📉 Risk Warning: If it drops below 102000, it will re-enter a medium-term downward channel. If the trend score drops below 45, all open orders will be cleared and will wait in cash.