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比特币这波的冲高回调未跌破103600，周末低流动性的区间已确认，在103600-105500附近高抛低吸$ETH

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6.7周六比特币早间分析: 午夜大饼自105200附近开始承压，随后阶梯下行。盘中最低触及103800支撑区域。以太坊自2529关口受阻后持续走低，在2455附近企稳。从日线级别来看，价格运行于布林带中轨与下轨之间，格局中性偏弱。MACD显示空头动能占优，DIF线仍位于DEA线下方，均线系统未形成明确多头排列，整体仍面临震荡下行压力。4小时级别，市场展现较强反弹势头，价格逼近布林带中轨。KDJ指标形成死叉，MACD柱状图(0轴上方)逐渐缩短，显示小级别空头能量增强。综合日线与4小时信号，日内建议维持高箜布橘。大饼104500-105000箜，看102000附近。以太2480-2520箜，看2400-2370附近。

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本次失业率符合预期本次就业人数虽然低于前值，但是小幅高于预期就业数据具有一定两面性。就业人数稍微降低有助于压制通胀和让美联储降息，不算什么利空。但是一旦就业人数大幅减少，这会让人担忧金绒危机，反而是利空

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6.6晚间分析日内走出“探底反弹”剧本，下探100305低位后快速收复失地，不过反弹中抛压隐现。从一小时来看，MACD 呈现“底背离+金叉”信号，短期哆头动能初步复苏，但均线仍粘合于104500附近，构成关键压力带。若反弹能突破均线压制，有望向105000关口迈进; 目前在102000-100305区间震荡。重点关注晚间非农数据公布，晚间仍旧维持高箜策略即可操作建议：大饼103800-104300区间箜，目标看向102000-98000 姨太2490-2530区间箜，目标看向2380-2300

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比特币目前上涨受阻，103600阻力区间箜一次，目标看102000

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