Quick update on Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) – Tonight (6/6/2025, 20:30 VN)

📊 Data forecast

• Jobs (NFP): +126,000 – 130,000 (↓ compared to last month 177,000)

• Unemployment rate: 4.2% (unchanged)

• Average hourly wage: +0.2% – 0.3% MoM | ~3.6% YoY

🔍 Market context

• ADP just announced a surprising low: only +37,000 → signs of weak labor

• Expectations that the Fed may cut interest rates sooner if NFP is weak

📈 Expected impact

• If NFP < forecast:

→ USD falls, gold & BTC rise

→ Expectations for Fed “pivot” (rate cut)

• If NFP > forecast:

→ USD strong, BTC and stocks may be sold off

→ Fed keeps rates high longer

✅ Summary

• Today's NFP data is very important for the crypto market and risk assets

• High volatility expected at 20:30 tonight, BTC likely to react with pump/dump on both sides.

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