Bitcoin is ~ 101k8xx (down ~3% in the last 24 hours) • Currently in a correction phase after the rise since the end of May.
📊 Technical Analysis D1 Frame • Trend: Currently in a short-term down wave. • Near support: • 100k: Psychological & technical threshold • ~98k: Previous technical bottom from April • Near resistance: • 105-106.500 Old distribution zone • ~112k: Peak at the end of May
W Frame • Last week's candle: Large red candle, no clear reversal signal yet. • Technical structure: In the accumulation phase after a strong rise.
If this week's candle closes above 103k, it may create a slight reversal setup for next week.
M Frame • May: Closed with a red candle, unable to hold the 110k area as expected. • June: Starting with selling pressure, but it is too early to conclude.
• Monthly scenarios: • Increase: If it holds 100k and breaks 112k • Decrease: If it breaks 98k, it will go back to 93k – 95k (there is still a GAP in the 90-91kxxx area)
News affecting BTC:
Positive: Trump Media proposes ETF, Circle IPO reinforces market confidence
• Negative: ETF capital inflow is slow, FED keeps interest rates high
Positive scenario: • If it maintains the 100k mark → BTC could recover to 105-107k next week. • If there is good news from the FED (may “pivot” sooner than expected), the price could rise to 115-120k
Negative scenario: • If it loses the 98k mark → Will test back to 93k – 95k. • Negative news from ETF, stablecoin, or US regulation could cause the market to drop significantly.
✅ Summary • The market is undergoing a healthy correction after a hot rally. • The 100k area is BTC's “death zone” at the moment. • Prioritize defensive strategies, patiently observe price behavior in the 98k–100k area before buying back.
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