🚨 #SOLUSDT Bearish Breakdown! Short the Bounce or Ride the Plunge? Critical Levels Inside! 🚨
Market Analysis
- Price: $147.65 (-4.05%)
- Trend: Bearish acceleration (↓ MACD, ↓ Volume, ↓ OBV).
- key Support: 144.27 (Lower Bollinger Band) → WEAK HOLD!
- Next Support: 141.51 (24h Low).
- Key Resistance: 154.36 (Middle Bollinger Band).
- Sentiment: 79.27% long accounts → extreme liquidation risk below $144!
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Trade Strategy
Bearish Continuation (75% Probability)
Entry (Short):
1. Aggressive: Rejection at $148.50 (failed support) → Enter $148.00-$148.50.
- Stop Loss: $150.20 (1.1% risk).
2. Conservative: Breakdown below $144.20 → Enter $143.80-$144.20.
- Stop Loss: $146.00 (1.2% risk).
Exit Targets:
- T1: $142.00 (↓3.8%)
- T2: $141.51 (24h Low ↓4.2%)
- T3: $138.00 (Psychological support ↓6.5%)
Bullish Reversal (25% Probability - High Risk)
Entry (Long):
- Signal: Hold above $144.27 + RSI(6) >40 + MACD histogram reversal.
- Zone: $144.20-$145.00 (lower Bollinger bounce).
- Stop Loss: $142.00 (1.7% risk).
Exit Targets:
- T1: $150.00 (Middle Bollinger ↑3.5%)
- T2: $152.00 (↓1D high retest ↑4.9%)
Why Bearish Dominates?
- 📉 MACD: -0.78 (bearish momentum accelerating).
- 🆘 RSI(6): 35.88 (neutral-bearish, no oversold bounce signal).
- 📉Bollinger Bands: Price testing lower band ($144.27) → breakdown imminent.
- 💀 OBV: -5.8M (aggressive selling pressure).
- 📉 Volume: 103K vs MA(5) 771K → 87% below average (buyers absent).
- 💣 Liquidation Fuel: 79% longs = coiled spring for cascading sells.
- 📉 Basis: -0.11 (futures in backwardation → bearish).
Surety Rate: 75% for Shorts | 25% for Longs
- Short Confidence:
- Triple confirmation (MACD, Bollinger, Volume).
- High long accounts = liquidation cascade fuel.
Disclaimer: Use 3-5x leverage MAX. Exit 50% at T1. Stop losses NON-NEGOTIABLE!
