Musk's "Vote to Establish a Party", Trump Facing Impeachment Gamble, America in 2025: A Real Black Mirror Episode

On June 6, the prediction market on Polymarket regarding "Will Trump be impeached this year?" quietly heated up, with the probability rising to 10%. Meanwhile, on the other side, Musk, unwilling to be left out, directly initiated a vote on X (formerly Twitter): Is it time to create a new political party that can represent 80% of the moderates? — The voting results were overwhelmingly in favor, with more than 80% choosing "Yes".

It’s like a scripted drama. The protagonist is a former president who manipulates the financial market with rhetoric, and the supporting character is a tech mogul providing the spectacle. The two either go their separate ways, or they argue on stage while collaborating behind the scenes to exploit the "cognitive gap".

It seems that Musk and Trump have completely "torn apart their facade"; one is playing a new political card, while the other is seen by the market as a target for "potential impeachment". But if we think about it calmly, this might actually be a carefully orchestrated "double act":

Musk calls for reform, firmly establishing his image as the "voice of the new era";

Trump continues with his "suppressed persona", attracting anti-establishment attention;

The bubble is being released, and the market unexpectedly reacts "sturdily" — clearing out before the storm to make space for the next rally.

So don’t panic, this is not the prelude to a crypto market collapse; rather, it might be a "washing script" where the higher-ups test the lower limits and seek consensus. When we get to Q4 of 2025, you might be surprised to see: Musk endorsing Trump, "for the common freedom and AI regulation", shaking hands in cooperation, and together boosting market enthusiasm and votes.

Will the outcome be a rise in US stocks, a recovery in the crypto market, Wall Street celebrations, and retail investors breaking even? It’s hard to say. But one thing is certain — their script is always full of drama, just hope you can keep up.