Altseason History: 2017 & 2021 🟢 2017 Altseason - BTC Dominance (BTC.D) dropped hard from ~95% (start of year) to ~35% by Jan 2018. - ETH/BTC went up from 0.02 to ~0.12 BTC mid-2017. - Altcoins like ETH, XRP, ADA, NEO, LTC pumped 10–100x. - Main altseason: May 2017 – Jan 2018.
🟢 2021 Altseason - BTC.D down from ~70% to ~40% by May 2021. - ETH/BTC up from 0.025 to 0.08 BTC. -Altcoins exploded w/ DeFi, NFT, memecoins (DOGE, SHIBA). - Main altseason: Jan – May 2021. Mini altseason 11/2024 – 1/2025: Why not the top yet? ✅ Signs of mini altseason: - BTC hit 100K ATH then pulled back to 75K. - Many altcoins up 3–10x. - ETH/BTC up 0.05 → 0.065 BTC. - BTC.D down slightly 60% → 52%, but not as much as past cycles. ❌ Why not main altseason tho: -BTC.D still above 50%, no deep drop like before. - ETH ain’t broken ATH yet. - Retail investors not FOMOing hard yet. - Ecosystems like SOL, ARB, BLAST, MEME still chillin, accumulating. Prediction: Max altseason maybe mid-2025 - BTC steady above 100K: if BTC sideways 100K–110K, money might flow into altcoins. - ETH/BTC pumps hard: ETH leads = altseason poppin. - Retail FOMO incoming: small investors flooding altcoins. - Ecosystems like SOL, ARB, BLAST, MEME start runnin strong. ⸻ Conclusion & Strategy (1) 🛣️ We at crossroads rn — gotta think smart, not emotional: - 60% chance mini altseason (11/24–1/25) nearly done, money moving out alt → BTC or stable. - 40% chance it’s just warmup, and a max altseason can still blow up if BTC stable + ETH pumps. Action plan 🔸 If u lean 60% (mini altseason ending): - Spot: Take profits on pumped altcoins. Don’t FOMO chasing pumps. - Futures: Avoid long alt in high zones, only trade setups (break or retest). - Watch BTC.D & ETH/BTC: If BTC.D flips up → alt money out → alt drop warning.
🔹 If u lean 40% (max altseason starting): - Spot: DCA into well-accumulated altcoins that ain’t pumped much (meme, infra, L2). - Futures: Focus on short-term longs w/ strict risk mgmt, no all-in. - Watch ETH & SOL: If ETH breaks 0.07 BTC & BTC.D keeps dropping → max altseason likely. Key indicators to watch - BTC Dominance (BTC.D) - ETH/BTC ratio - On-chain volume ETH/SOL/MEME - Total market cap ex-BTC (TOTAL2) $BTC
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