BTC ETH Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions
Key Levels and Long/Short Logic BTC Core Support Level: 100000 round number is a psychological support, if the previous bottoming range (92848 - 100000) is effectively broken, space below will open up to 95000 - 90000.
Resistance Level: 105000 is the short-term dividing line for long and short; before recovering this level, the bear trend is hard to reverse; if it rebounds and breaks through, one can look at 108000 moving average resistance.
ETH Core Support Level: 2300 - 2350 is the key range for the previous upward movement; if held, it preserves the foundation for a rebound; if broken down, it will likely test the historical support at 2200.
Resistance Level: 2550 - 2600 is a densely packed resistance area of moving averages; a breakthrough requires volume, otherwise it is easy to encounter resistance and fall back.
Real-time Trading Strategy — Control Risk, Catch Rhythm BTC Strategy Short-term Short (Trend Continuation Logic) Entry Conditions: Rebound to the range of 103000 - 104000, encounter resistance and close with a bearish candle (like Evening Star, long upper shadow), and volume has not effectively increased.
Stop Loss Setting: Above 105500 (if it breaks through the 10-period moving average resistance, then stop loss).
Take Profit Target: First target 100000, if broken, look at 98000 - 95000 (take profit in batches, keep the base position to speculate on oversold rebounds).
Oversold Bottom Fishing (Left-side Speculation) Entry Conditions: Price breaks down 100000 with volume and quickly rebounds, forming a long lower shadow, and the hourly chart shows a bottom divergence signal.
Stop Loss Setting: Below 99000 (if it breaks the previous low, then the trend has not changed, exit decisively).
Take Profit Target: 103000 - 105000 (participate with light positions, take profit when seeing good returns).
ETH Strategy Trend Short (Linked with BTC Weakness) Entry Conditions: Rebound to the range of 2500 - 2520, under pressure and falls back (MACD top divergence, K-line stagnation).
Stop Loss Setting: Above 2550 (if it breaks through the 52-period moving average, then stop loss).
Take Profit Target: 2350 - 2300, if broken look at 2250.
Swing Low Buy (Speculate on Technical Recovery) Entry Conditions: Price stabilizes at 2450, and the hourly chart shows volume breaking through the 10-period moving average, MACD golden cross.
Stop Loss Setting: Below 2400 (if the retest of support is effective, hold; if it breaks down, stop loss). Take Profit Target: 2550 - 2600 (take profit in batches at the moving average resistance area).
