Trend Impulse + Confluence
This strategy combines trend strength, volumes, and multi-factor confirmation for precise entries. It is adapted for the volatility of Binance Futures and minimizes false signals.
🔍 1. Timeframes: Multi-timeframe Analysis
- Trend: Daily (1D) or 4H chart — determining the global direction).
- Entry: 1H or 15M — for precise positioning.
- Noise filter: 5M — only for volume confirmation.
> Why? Trading in the direction of the higher timeframe increases the probability of success.
📊 2. Key Tools
✅ 200 EMA + 50 EMA — double trend filter:
- Price above 200 EMA = uptrend (only long).
- Price below 200 EMA = downtrend (only short).
- 50 EMA as dynamic support/resistance.
✅ RSI (14 periods) with levels 40/60 — avoiding classic 30/70 (in futures, overbought/oversold is often false).
✅ VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) — confirmation of "fair price" in the trend.
✅ Volume + Delta (CVD) — if volume is increasing and CVD confirms direction, it’s a strong signal.
✅ Candlestick patterns:
- Pin bar at key levels.
- Fakes (False Breakouts) — especially at liquid levels.
🎯 3. Entry Rules
🔹 Long (Buy):
1. Price above 200 EMA and 50 EMA on 4H.
2. RSI (14) bounced from 40 upwards.
3. VWAP acts as support.
4. Volume above average + positive CVD.
5. Bullish candle (pin bar, engulfing) or breakout of local maximum.
🔸 Short (Sell):
1. Price below 200 EMA and 50 EMA on 4H.
2. RSI (14) bounced from 60 downwards.
3. VWAP as resistance.
4. Increase in volume + negative CVD.
5. Bearish candle or false breakout of level.
⚠️ 4. Risk Management
- Stop Loss:
- For long: below the minimum of the last correction or 50 EMA.
- For short: above the maximum retracement or 50 EMA.
- Take Profit:
- 1st target: 1.5 x risk (lock in part of the position).
- 2nd target: 3 x risk (move stop to break-even).
- Risk: No more than 1-2% of the deposit per trade.
- Leverage: Up to 5x (to reduce liquidation risk).
💡 5. Unique Features
- Confluence of levels: Entry points should coincide with:
- Horizontal support/resistance level.
- Liquidity zone (e.g., cluster of stop-losses).
- Fibonacci level 61.8% from the last retracement.
- Trading by "sessions":
- Active phase of Binance (08:00–12:00 UTC) — more volume and movement.
- Avoid periods of low liquidity (night UTC).
📈 Example:
1. On 4H BTCUSD above 200 EMA, RSI = 45 (bounce from 40).
2. On 1H: bounce from VWAP + bullish pin bar.
3. Volume increased by 20% from average, CVD positive.
4. Long entry, stop below 50 EMA, take profit 1:3.
🔥 Tips for Maximum Efficiency
- Do not trade against the trend — even if RSI is oversold/overbought.
- Trade journal: Record each trade + reason for entry (e.g., "Long on ETH, confluence VWAP + 200 EMA + volume").
- Optimization: Test parameters for different futures (BTC, ETH, ALT-coins behave differently).
💬 Important: This strategy requires discipline! Skip questionable entries better to miss profit than to enter a loss.
Try it on a demo account and adapt it to your style. How do you like this approach? Share your experience! 👇
#BTC #MarketRebound #BinanceAlphaAlert #SaylorBTCPurchase #MarketPullback