๐$BTC /USDT โ Structure Shift or Just a Bounce? Letโs Talk Price Action Truth
๐ Current Price: $105,913.22
๐ 24H High: $106,500
๐ 24H Low: $103,905.10
๐ 24H Change: +1.27%
๐ Chart Observations (1H Timeframe)
Bitcoinโs price action is signaling a potential bullish continuation, but weโre not fully in the clear yet.
โ Higher Low Structure:
After rejecting from the $106.5K resistance, $BTC formed a clean higher low at around $104,800 โ a strong short-term support now. This marks the base of a potential bullish structure if the trend sustains.
โ EMA/MA Alignment:
Price has bounced above both the 20EMA and 50MA with volume confirmation โ a healthy signal for intraday momentum.
The crossover of the EMAs has already occurred, further validating this upward push.
โ MACD Signal:
MACD histogram flipped green after consistent red bars, while the MACD line attempts to cross above the signal โ an early bullish divergence. This is a classic pre-breakout condition.
โ RSI Movement (61.97):
RSI is rising but still has room to run before reaching overbought levels. This implies bullish momentum hasnโt exhausted yet and could push price toward next resistance zones.
๐ฏ Strategic Trade Thinking
๐ฅ Entry Zone: $105,300โ$105,900
๐ Target 1 (Local Resistance): $106,500
๐ฏ Target 2 (Breakout Extension): $107,400
๐ Stop-loss: Below $104,800 (Invalidation of bullish HL structure)
If the price forms a bullish engulfing on the next candle and closes above $106K with decent volume, this could trigger a breakout continuation trade. Be cautious if volume drops or if RSI reaches 70 without momentum confirmation โ could signal exhaustion.
๐ฌ ๐Volume tells the story. If buyers are serious, weโll see increasing volume on breakout.
No FOMO at resistance. Wait for confirmation or retracement entries.
Key Zone = $106K. If $BTC fails again here, expect a fakeout and pullback to $104.6K.
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