【$btc】2025.6.3

①$btc reached a new high again, but it doesn't look strong. It has been in a low-level fluctuation for many days. Will it directly weaken and enter a bear market? Absolutely not. Put away any panic thoughts you may have; there’s even a chance for another new high in June. Currently, many are predicting a peak prematurely. All indicators are on the left side; although there are indeed signs of a peak gradually appearing, even if we take a step back and assume it really peaks, it will still provide multiple escape opportunities. There’s no rush; we’ll see how it goes. Regarding tariffs, Trump hopes countries will submit their best trade negotiation proposals by this Wednesday, with a final deadline set for July 8. The previous lawsuit concerning Trump’s tariffs is still under review, and preliminary results may not come until mid-month, so the impact of tariffs in the near term is likely minimal. As for the U.S. stock market, it remains in a state of fluctuating upward. Although the volatility isn’t large, it hasn’t reversed course either. As long as the U.S. stock market doesn’t continue to decline, it won’t negatively affect $btc, allowing the entire crypto market to operate independently.

②Although it has rebounded now, it’s not strong and is quite sluggish, dragging on for about three days. Looking at it this way, is the adjustment still continuing? The 106000 line, which I emphasized last week, has now become the strongest resistance. For the price to continue rising, the first priority is to stay above 106000. If it cannot hold above this level in the next two days, it will correspondingly continue to adjust. The defensive position below is at the 103700 line; if it falls below here, it will continue to seek a bottom, targeting the 102500 line.

③The upper resistance remains at the 106000 line. If it stabilizes, look for【107000-108000】. At this point, someone might say, but there isn’t much volatility! Yes, $btc is essentially in a fluctuating structure, so don’t expect it to have drastic movements for now. You can short when it goes up and long when it goes down. The support below is at the 104600 line, using the defensive position of 103700 as the stop-loss. It’s worth considering trying a long position. #我的COS交易 #加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币