1. Current Bitcoin price and technical support
- Current price: Bitcoin is trading around $103,939 (as of June 1, 2025), with a daily range between $103,824–$104,786, down slightly by 0.68% from the previous day .
- Support and resistance levels:
- Strong support: $97,000–$100,000.
- Immediate resistance: $108,000–$112,000.
- Target in case of breakout: $120,000, supported by whale accumulation (large investors) and institutional demand. 2. Major geopolitical developments
- United States:
- The strategic reserve for Bitcoin was launched under an executive order from President Trump, relying on Bitcoin seized from criminal cases (approximately 200,000 Bitcoin). The goal: to enhance the United States' position as the "global capital of digital currencies" and not to sell these reserves.
- New policies include:
- Ban on central bank digital currencies (CBDCs).
- Support for the dollar backed by stable currencies.
- Appointment of "Czar of Digital Currencies and Artificial Intelligence" (David Sachs) .
- Pakistan:
- Announced the establishment of a national Bitcoin reserve similar to the U.S. model, allocating 2,000 megawatts of electricity for Bitcoin mining and AI data centers.
- Challenges: Faced criticism from the International Monetary Fund due to the local energy crisis (prices up 155% since 2021), threatening social stability. 3. Institutional demand and supporting factors
- Institutional accumulation:
- Major entities like Metaplanet and Fundstrat are investing billions of dollars in Bitcoin as a "strategic financial tool" (like digital gold) .
- $7 trillion in money market funds may flow into scarce assets like Bitcoin.
- Long-term forecasts:
- 2025: $180,000–$250,000 (Van Eck, Standard Chartered) .
- 2030: up to $1 million (Joi Burnett) . 4. Monthly forecasts and risks
- June 2025:
- Bullish trend: could reach $120,000 if it maintains $108,000 as support, with continued institutional accumulation.
- Bearish trend: could fall below $100,000 if selling pressure or economic factors prevail.
- Potential risks:
- 2026: Expectations for a sharp decline (crypto winter) due to global market dynamics.
- Potential conflict of interest for Trump (his family's investments in digital currencies amount to $2.5 billion).
Summary table of price forecasts
| Period/Source | Price Forecast (Dollar) | Supporting Factors |
|--------------------------|----------------------------|------------------------------------------|
| June 2025 (short term) | $108,000–$120,000 | Whale accumulation, institutional demand |
| End of 2025 (medium term) | $180,000–$250,000 | Sovereign adoption, global liquidity |
| 2030 (long term) | $500,000–$1,000,000 | International debt crisis, Bitcoin scarcity |
Summary
- Current trend: Bitcoin is in an upward accumulation phase, with strong technical support above $100,000 and unprecedented geopolitical developments.
- Challenges: Regulatory risks (like Pakistan and the IMF), potential volatility in 2026 .
- Recommendation: Close monitoring of the $108,000 level as critical for the June trend, considering licenses below $100,000 as strategic buying opportunities.#BTC☀️
