#ETHUSDT $ETH Direction: Short (Sell)
Reason:
Technical Analysis: 4-hour bearish trend is solid, 1-hour Stoch Cross death cross signal (-1), 15-minute engulfing bearish (1.00) confirms short-term downward momentum. Price is below key moving averages (SMA20, EMA200), resistance levels are clear.
Fundamental Analysis: Market cap shrinking, high Gas fees, NUPL neutral to slightly negative, supporting a bear market. Stablecoin inflow provides slight support but does not change the trend.
Specific Execution:
Entry: Short in the 2,529–2,530 range (30-minute resistance).
Stop Loss: 2,532.84 (strict stop loss, prevent reversal).
Take Profit:
First Target: 2,514.28 (profit ≈ 15 points).
Second Target: 2,500 (profit ≈ 30 points, partial exit).
Position Size: Recommend 3-5% of total funds, leverage ≤ 5x (high volatility asset).