【Are you still struggling with whether BTC price is expensive? Take a look at this chart:】
1⃣ What exactly is the S2F model?
Simply put:
Bitcoin = scarce digital gold
Every 4 years, the supply is halved, and the more it is mined, the less there is,
supply tightens, and the price naturally rises.
Just like gold, the scarcer it is, the more valuable it becomes.
2⃣ What does the chart tell us?
Looking back at historical cycles:
2012: Bitcoin price closely followed the S2F curve, taking off in a wave
2016: Verified again, the price multiplied by dozens
2020: History repeated itself, igniting a bull market
Now: The price is again below the S2F model value, entering the “super undervalued buying” zone
2025 may be the next explosive point, history may be repeating itself!
3⃣ How to use this model?
Green area (price < model) = undervalued, a good opportunity to position!
Red area (price > model) = overheated sentiment, should be treated rationally!
The secret of investing is actually very simple:
When others are fearful, I am greedy. When others are greedy, I remain calm.
The logic of Bitcoin has never changed; what changes is whether you make the right choices within the cycle.
Understanding the model means understanding the market rhythm. Each halving is a fork in destiny.
Opportunities are only left for those who are prepared in advance—are you ready?
