Breaking News! Powell and Trump hold discussions at the White House on May 29, potential turning point for the cryptocurrency market!

The talks superficially focused on the differences regarding interest rate cuts (Trump pressuring, Powell emphasizing independence), but the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell by 7 basis points that day, signaling a easing of policy contention. Trump changed his stance from 'threatening to dismiss' to stating 'respect for the Federal Reserve's independence', alleviating market concerns about political interference.

Three direct impacts:

• Rising expectations for interest rate cuts: Trump pushes for a rate cut in 2025, and if the Federal Reserve implements it in the second half of the year, Bitcoin could replicate the 18% weekly gain after the rate cut in September 2024.

• Institutions accelerating entry: The Trump administration holds 200,000 Bitcoins as a strategic reserve, and MicroStrategy is holding 506,000 Bitcoins (worth $43 billion) as of March 2025, with policy signals stimulating capital inflow.

• Compliance hedging advantage: Under the EU MiCA regulations, Bitcoin, due to its decentralized nature, has become a 'safe haven', and after the U.S. Department of Justice confiscation incident in 2024, the price rebounded by 12%.

Short-term trend predictions:

• Optimistic: September rate cut + crypto-friendly policies → Bitcoin could break $120,000 (+20%);

• Neutral: Maintaining interest rates + expanding reserves → fluctuating between $90,000 - $110,000;

• Pessimistic: EU regulatory impact + strong economic data → dropping to $78,000 (miner's cost line).

Risk reminder: The wording of the Federal Reserve's June meeting and the pace of Trump's policies are key variables. It is recommended to gradually allocate under $100,000 while being alert to market correlation risks.

What do you think influences Bitcoin prices more, policy contention or liquidity? Feel free to share your views in the comments and forward to friends interested in the cryptocurrency market! #比特币