$TON /USDT Analysis – Bearish Pressure After Breakout🤔🔐👇
📊 Current Price: $3.245
📉 24h Drop: -0.39%
🕐 Timeframe Observed: 1H & 4H
📌 Trend Bias: Bearish Short-Term Pullback
📌 Chart Breakdown:
🔸 1H Timeframe:
$TON Price rejected from the $3.40–$3.50 supply zone and is now showing lower highs and lower lows.
CHoCH (Change of Character) occurred near $3.32 indicating a short-term structure shift.
RSI is declining toward 40, hinting at bearish momentum still active.
Price hovering near the 50 EMA, any clean breakdown below this can accelerate selling pressure.
🔸 4H Timeframe:
Strong upside impulsive candle emerged from the $2.90–$3.00 demand zone, showing clear bullish BOS earlier.
However, price is now forming potential retracement setup, respecting the lower edge of the supply zone.
RSI also losing strength near 60, confirming slowdown.
🎯 Strategy Plan:
Short-Term Setup (1H)
🔻 If $3.22 breaks → Target Zones:
→ $3.16 (support)
→ $3.00 (major demand + liquidity sweep zone)
📈 Only consider long entries if:Price reclaims $3.32 with strong bullish candle & RSI > 50
Confirm breakout from supply zone ($3.40+) with volume
🛑 Invalidation: Any 1H candle close above $3.41 supply rejection zone
📉 Why Bearish for Now?
Multiple CHoCH prints
RSI divergence and decreasing volume
Strong supply rejection in premium zone
Moving averages are sloping downward on lower timeframes
📌 Takeaway:
Stay cautious — $TON has shown strong past bullish impulse, but is now undergoing short-term distribution and exhaustion. Let it test demand for reaction before jumping in.
🧠 "Let the chart talk, not emotions. Smart entries come with patience, not prediction."
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always DYOR and use risk management.
