Current price: ~$11.461 (↓ -8.05%)
Situation: Daily RSI is approaching absolute bottom, but there is no clear reversal signal yet. Deep negative MACD. Volume is increasing but cash flow is exiting.
🔍 Multi-timeframe technical analysis
⏱️ 15 minutes:
• RSI(6) = 31.98 → Close to oversold
• Price is oscillating around MA(7) = 11.475
• Slightly negative MACD → Weak decrease, but recovery strength is not clear yet
🕐 1 hour:
• MA(7), MA(25), MA(99) are all sloping down → Strong decrease
• Low volume → should not Long
🕓 4 hours:
• RSI(6) = 29.3 → Oversold
• Deep negative OBV: -33.2B → Cash flow is exiting
• Price is below MA(25) = 11.998 → strong resistance
📅 1 day:
• RSI(6) = 12.74 → Extremely oversold
• Deep negative MACD, large volume → Warning of continued downtrend
• MA(7) = 12.012 > MA(25) = 12.505 → Long-term decrease is not stopping
🎯 Trading strategy
Futures – Prioritize Short according to trend
• Entry: $11.460 – $11.550
• TP: $11.000
• SL: $12.020
• Probability: ~65–70% (according to medium-term downtrend + strong negative OBV)
Futures – Short-term Long scalping (high risk)
• Entry: Above $11.475 (when 15m RSI > 35)
• TP: $11.650
• SL: $11.400
• Probability: ~55% (RSI is oversold but recovery strength is weak, low volume)
Spot – No investment recommendation
• Price is still below MA(7), daily RSI shows no signs of recovery
• No confirmed bottom yet, risk of catching a falling knife
⚠️ Risk warning
• Daily RSI is extremely low but does not mean an immediate recovery
• Volume is increasing but cash flow is exiting → avoid FOMO
• TRUMPUSDT fluctuates strongly according to political information, do not trade more than 2% of capital per order