✅ Summary of current technical signals:

  • 15-minute frame: Weak downward trend, RSI near the oversold zone (~31), there is a possibility of a slight rebound in the short term but not reliable yet.

  • 1-hour frame: Clear downward trend, MA lines sloping down, RSI around 36 (not in the oversold zone), MACD slightly negative – weak signal, no clear rebound force yet.

  • 4-hour frame: Strongly oversold, RSI only ~19.2 – this is a potential sign for a technical rebound. MACD also signals a reduction in negative momentum. This is the only frame supporting a clear rebound possibility.

1-day frame: RSI(6) at a low of ~25 (oversold zone), MACD starting to be more positive (DIF > DEA), volume increasing again – an early sign of the potential for a medium-term reversal.


=> The technical rebound scenario has a probability of ~60–65%, but not enough strength to return to $0.80 in the short term.

📌 Separate analysis for Long order at $0.80

  • Current loss: approximately -12.5%

  • Breakeven point ($0.80) is above the strong resistance area $0.75–0.78

  • To breakeven, ADA must increase by ~14%, which is very difficult to happen in the next 2–3 days, unless BTC recovers strongly.

🧠 Wise and professional solutions:

➤ Option 1: Cut loss with control (safe & logical)

  • Exit the order immediately around $0.70–0.705

  • Accept a loss of ~11–12.5%

  • Wait to buy back according to the new scenario in the range of 0.6950–0.7000, according to the analysis mentioned.

    Reason:

    • Holding the Long order at $0.80 has no strategic value.

    • The new order has a better entry point, higher rebound probability, and lower risk.

➤ Option 2: “Save the order” by averaging price (high risk)

  • If you accept more risk:

    • Open a new Long position in the range of 0.6950–0.7000

    • The common target is $0.73

    • Average price around $0.75

    • If ADA technically rebounds as analyzed, it may exit close to breakeven

  • Mandatory SL placed below $0.685 – if it breaks, you must cut immediately, do not hold on.

🛑 Warning: Only use this option if you are an experienced person, tightly control capital, and trust in short-term analysis capabilities.

📌 Final conclusion:

  • Professional recommendation: Cut the Long ADA order at $0.80 immediately, and wait to buy back in the range of $0.6950–0.7000 according to the analyzed strategy – safe, reasonable, and with higher recovery opportunities.

  • This is a way to preserve capital, optimize entry points, and maintain trading discipline – the most important thing for long-term success.

  • I wish you a suitable way to handle it. One more thing: While there is money, there is no need to fear the market for missing opportunities to recover.

    $ADA