Current situation (May 30, 2025):
- Price: ~$180–$190 (USD, based on current data).
- Context: Solana is a high-performance Layer 1 blockchain supporting DeFi, NFT, and GameFi with high throughput (up to 65,000 TPS). Market capitalization: ~$90–$100 billion (5th place).
Technical forecast for 2026:
- Prices:
- Optimistic: $350–$600 (growth of 90–220%) in a bullish market and ecosystem growth.
- Neutral: $220–$350 (growth of 20–90%).
- Pessimistic: $100–$150 during market corrections or regulatory restrictions.
- Levels:
- Support: $170–$180, $120–$140.
- Resistance: $200–$220, $300–$350.
- Trend: Bullish on long-term timeframes (W1, MN). RSI (~50–60) is neutral, 50/200 MA confirm bullish trend, but consolidation is possible with decreasing volumes.
Fundamentals:
- Growth drivers:
- Ecosystem growth: DeFi (TVL ~$8–10 billion), NFT, meme coins ($WIF, $BONK).
- High transaction activity (94% growth in 2025) and new projects (Firedancer for scalability).
- Institutional demand: SOL ETF (VanEck, 21Shares), partnerships (DigitalX).
- Staking: APR ~6–8%, support for liquid tokens (BNSOL, JitoSOL).
- Risks:
- Regulatory restrictions (SEC classifies SOL as a security).
- Competition from Ethereum L2, BNB Chain.
- Technical risks: periodic network failures (although Firedancer reduces the likelihood).
- Dependence on BTC and overall market dynamics.
Recommendation:
- Investors: Buy on corrections to $170–$180, stop below $120. Target: $300–$350. Staking for passive income.
- Traders: Buy on breakout at $220, target $300–$350. Sell below $170, target $120–$140.
- Risk: 1–2% of deposit, consider volatility.