📌 Current technical situation
• Price: 0.05671 USDT (↓ 11.10%)
• Main trend: Strong decline on D1 and M15
• RSI:
• M15: 14 → deeply oversold
• D1: 16.48 → oversold
• H1: 42 → slight rebound, may create a short-term bottom
• H1 MACD: Signs of slight recovery, positive histogram
• Volume: Low, except for the H4 frame which has abnormalities → be cautious of spikes
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📊 Proposed trading strategy
1. Spot (Scalp buying – Prioritize if not using leverage)
• Entry: 0.05670–0.05675
• TP1: 0.05750
• TP2: 0.05850
• SL: 0.05600
• Success probability: ~65%
• ✅ Condition: RSI in the oversold zone + H1 MACD has recovery signal → suitable for a technical rebound.
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2. Futures (Monitor breakout or breakdown)
🔹 Long scenario when breakout:
• Entry: Buy if the price exceeds 0.05710 with increased volume
• TP: 0.05800–0.05850
• SL: 0.05650
• Success probability: ~70% if there is a real breakout along with liquidity
🔹 Short scenario when breakdown:
• Entry: 0.05640–0.05650 (if it breaks the bottom)
• TP: 0.05550–0.05500
• SL: 0.05700
• Success probability: ~55%
• ⚠️ Only enter if the volume increases significantly along with breaking the bottom
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🚨 Important note
• Deeply oversold RSI may lead to a strong bounce → should not open Short blindly
• Only open Long if there is a confirming candle + increased volume
• Closely monitor the 1H frame to manage orders and detect reversal signals early
• No FOMO, limit risk per trade ≤2% of capital
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📍Quick conclusion:
• Spot strategy: Prioritize buying in the 0.05670 range, TP 0.05750–0.05850 if RSI rebound is confirmed.
• Futures:
• Monitor breakout at 0.05710 to open Long
• Only consider Short if breakdown at 0.05650
• Higher success probability with short-term Long orders if RSI rebounds with volume