#### 🌪️ Executive Summary (Storm Digest)
- Sharp drop: The price is down -4% with heavy selling flows (-170K TRUMP in 24 hours), but high volume ($566M) shows continued interest.
- Market Cap Paradox: Despite the huge face value ($2.46B), the fully discounted value ($12.32B) indicates potential unrecognized inflation.
- The "Political Predictions" game: The currency is linked to a political figure, so its predictions are based on non-financial events (e.g., election news, Trump's statements).
- Bold recommendation: Traders only! – This is a currency for speculation, not for investment.
---
### 🔍 Analysis on 3 levels
#### 1. "Group Psychology" Analysis
- The name says it all: “TRUMP” attracts emotional traders (pro/contrarians), creating irrational fluctuations.
- "Rashness" indicator: The volume/market capitalization ratio (22.99%) is relatively low, which means that the price may react violently to any news.
- Large negative flows: 249K TRUMP sold by large investors - a warning sign, but it could be a "maneuver" to buy cheaper.
#### 2. Shocking Data (What Do the Numbers Hide?)
- Supply gap: 80% of coins are out of circulation (200M out of 1,000M), meaning any new issuance could crash the price.
- "Fake Liquidity" indicator: Daily volume ($566M) is close to 23% of market capitalization - this is abnormal and indicates partially "artificial" trading.
- Historical price: High at $75.35 (possibly during a media hype), Low at $12.23 currently - meaning the price could easily go up 6x or down 50%.
#### 3. The "Wolves and Sheep" Theory
- Wolves (large investors): Playing on volatility, especially with 4.56M TRUMP in large buy orders.
- Sheep (small traders): They are attracted by the name and the movement, but they may be trapped in losing trades if the market suddenly turns.
---
### 🎯 "Strange but Realistic" Trading Recommendations
#### For Volatility Traders
Strategy: Trading the News – Buy on any positive news about Trump, and sell on the first sign of a decline.
- Entry points:
- Buy: If the price breaks $13.5 with trading volume above $100M/hour.
- Sell: If it drops below $11.8 (psychological support).
- Stop loss: 5-7% of the capital in the trade (this is a volatile currency!).
#### For High-Risk Gamblers
- Betting on the "media hype":
- Before political debates or major events – buy aggressively.
- After the event – sell quickly before the market recovers.
- Warning: This is a profitable strategy but it is similar to gambling.
#### For those who have retired from trading (Avoiders)
- Stay away: the currency is not suitable for investment portfolios, and its fundamental value is questionable.
---
### 🔮 Predictions: 3 "Out of the Box" Scenarios
1. “Mass suicide” scenario: If Trump announces his rejection of the currency, it could fall to $5-$7 within hours.
2. "Mass Mania" scenario: If he publicly endorses it, it could quickly reach $30-$50 (as happened before).
3. “Quiet Scam” Scenario: If it remains stable, it may be a “quiet bubble” waiting to burst.
---
### ⚡ Conclusion: This is not a currency... This is a "psychological game"
Smart traders: exploit volatility without getting attached to the trend.
- Beginners: They will burn their capital here.
- Wisdom: "If you get in, know how to get out quickly."
> 🚨 Final Warning: TRUMP/USDT is more of a meme coin than a real currency. Trade it like you play poker – with a clear plan and a willingness to lose!