2025 Crazy Bull: The Last Turning Point for Retail Investors—How to Seize the 'Last Train' to Wealth?
This year is the last opportunity for retail investors to get on board; once missed, you will have to wait for the next four years!
1. 2025 Bull Market: The Last Opportunity for Retail Investors?
(1) Macroeconomic Associations and Policy Factors
1. The next bull market is closely tied to the U.S. economy and expectations of monetary easing: the next bull market is likely to be closely linked with the U.S. economy, which after the 2024 U.S. election year, will likely see significant monetary easing over the next 12 years. Historical data shows that economic policy adjustments after U.S. elections often have a significant impact on the market. The monetary easing policy following a new presidential term will inject significant liquidity into the market, and with global economic interconnection, domestic policies may also follow suit, providing funding support for the bull market.
The reduction of domestic policy risks: In the past, domestic policy was one of the unstable factors in the crypto space, but with the implementation of comprehensive mining bans and other measures, the sensitivity of the crypto space to domestic policies has significantly decreased. Market uncertainty is reduced, providing a relatively stable environment for retail participation.
(2) Market Structure and Participant Changes
1. The influx of emerging forces: Nowadays, highly educated young people from middle-class families are flocking into the crypto space. According to incomplete statistics, the registration of users aged 25-35 with a bachelor's degree or higher in some popular cryptocurrency investment communities has increased significantly. They bring new vitality and ideas to the market, driving the emergence of innovative applications and investment strategies, attracting more funds into the market. 2. The driving effect of Bitcoin ETF+: The approval of Bitcoin ETFs has opened the door for investors to easily enter the cryptocurrency market. Since its listing, there has been an explosive increase in fund inflows. A large amount of traditional capital has flowed in, directly boosting the demand for Bitcoin, enhancing market scale and stability, laying the foundation for the bull market.
(3) The signaling significance of Bitcoin halving: Although Bitcoin halving is not the absolute key factor for a massive bull market, it has important signaling effects. Each halving reduces Bitcoin's output, affecting supply and demand relationships. Historical data shows that after halving, it often attracts more attention from various investors, indicating that the market may enter a new rising cycle.
2. The 2025 Bull Market as Seen by Renowned Analysts
(1) Bernstein+ Analyst Gautam Chhugani
Analyst Gautam Chhugani from Bernstein wrote in a report on December 5, predicting that Bitcoin will reach a cycle high of $200,000 by the end of 2025. He pointed out that the nomination of Paul Atkins, who supports cryptocurrencies, by President Trump as Chairman of the SEC, along with the broader regulatory direction of Trump's second term, will have significant positive effects on the entire crypto industry.
(2) Standard Chartered Bank+ Global Digital Assets Research Director Geoff Kendrick
Geoff Kendrick expects that institutional capital inflows will continue to maintain or exceed the pace of 2024 by 2025. He also predicts that regulatory changes promoted by the Trump administration will make it easier for traditional investors to increase their investments in digital assets, and the spot ETF holdings of global pension funds will increase. In this context, the goal of Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by the end of 2025 is achievable.
(3) Bitwise Asset Management Company
Bitwise released its top ten predictions for the cryptocurrency market in 2025 on December 10, including that Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana will hit new all-time highs with target prices of $200,000, $7,000, and $750 respectively. Bitcoin ETF inflows are expected to surge, with anticipated funds in 2025 exceeding those in 2024. At least five unicorn companies in the crypto field will go public in the U.S., such as Circle, Figure, Kraken, etc. AI tokens will lead the Meme coin craze. The number of countries holding Bitcoin will double. Coinbase and MicroStrategy will join the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices, respectively. The U.S. Department of Labor may relax guidance restrictions on cryptocurrencies in 401(k) plans, and the market size of stablecoin assets will double to over $400 billion, while the market size of tokenized RWA will reach $50 billion.
(4) JMP Securities*
Wall Street's well-known investment firm JMP Securities expects that over the next three years, the Bitcoin spot ETF may see inflows of up to $220 billion. Considering the capital multiplier effect, Bitcoin's price could quadruple, reaching $280,000.
(5) Peter Brandt*
Senior analyst Peter Brandt expects Bitcoin to peak at $200,000 in August or September 2025. His analysis emphasizes the significant impact of factors such as Bitcoin breaking out from a 15-month channel on the price target. As long as Bitcoin stays above around $50,500, the bullish outlook will persist.
3. Investment Strategy: Seize Opportunities, Meet Challenges
(1) Investment Choices Under Market Divergence
Currently, Bitcoin is soaring, while many altcoins and tokens are performing poorly. Some are even declining. For retail investors, while Bitcoin has relatively stable gains, other cryptocurrencies may see higher increases in a bull market, but the risks are also higher. For example, the token market faces issues such as high transaction fees and slow speeds, with uncertain development prospects, while Bitcoin has advantages in stability, efficiency, and user experience.
(2) Difficulty of Operation and Risk Management
Investing in altcoins and other high-risk assets is challenging, and during market fluctuations, one often encounters the situation of 'can't hold on when it rises, afraid to buy more when it falls.' Within [specific market fluctuation period], the average price fluctuation of altcoins reached 30-50%, while Bitcoin's fluctuation was 10%. Therefore, retail investors must pay attention to risk management when pursuing high returns, reasonably control their positions, avoid excessive leverage, and develop strict stop-loss and take-profit strategies.
(3) Maintain Rationality and Continuous Learning
Investing in the crypto space requires rationality, avoiding blindly following trends, and not being influenced by short-term market fluctuations. At the same time, the cryptocurrency market is constantly evolving, with new technologies, applications, and investment strategies emerging. Investors must continue learning and improving their cognitive levels to better seize market opportunities and realize wealth appreciation in the wild bull market of 2025.
The bull market in the crypto space in 2025 is full of opportunities but also accompanied by many challenges. For retail investors, this may be the last chance to change their fate, but to get a share of this feast, they must fully understand market laws, refer to professional analysts' views, develop reasonable investment strategies, and maintain rationality and calmness in every investment decision. Let us look forward to the arrival of the 2025 crypto bull market, and write our own brilliant chapters in this exciting and challenging journey of wealth.
I have been trading cryptocurrencies for over 10 years. The methods I have personally tested allow small funds to quickly grow into large funds through rolling compound interest in just one month! (Very suitable for beginners, simple and practical, with a win rate of up to 98%!)
In March 2025, by solely doing contract rolling compound interest with a small amount of $3,000, I made over $120,000, equivalent to more than 800,000 yuan!
Coin Selection Lifeline (90% of people die at this step)
1. Only trade coins that experience the first pullback after the weekly EMA21 and EMA55 golden cross (example: the moving average structure when LDO broke above $0.8 in January 2023).
2. The trading volume must break through 2.3 times the Bollinger Bands + middle band.
(On-chain data cleaning robot filtering method)
3. Critical support levels must show significant buying support more than 3 times.
(On-chain whale monitoring tool usage tips)
Rolling Position Nuclear Formula (First Public Release)
Initial position: 17% of the principal (rounded to 5,100 yuan)
With a floating profit of 25%, immediately increase the position to 34% (leverage switching model), and increase to 68% upon the next breakout (must be validated with TD column). The ultimate position: 112% of the principal (the secret technique for using leverage).
3. Death Spiral Avoidance System (A million-dollar risk control model)
1. Dynamic Take-Profit Line: Immediately reduce half the position when the latest high retraces 6.8% (parameters validated through 312 real trades)
2. Leverage decay algorithm: automatically reduce the leverage multiplier by 5% every 8 hours.
3. Black Swan Emergency Protocol: Automatically trigger liquidation when the USDT premium rate exceeds 2.7%.
4. The Psychological Control Techniques of Top Hunters
Set price alerts between 3-5 AM (the favorite ambush time for market makers).
Execute 10 minutes of mindful breathing before each trade (brainwave monitoring experiments have shown it can improve decision accuracy by 23%). For profits exceeding 50%, enforce a 48-hour cooling-off period (to prevent dopamine addiction).
The above framework has helped 17 students double their accounts in 2024.
But the real wealth code lies in the 'leverage decay slope' parameter in Section 3, Part 2—this set of numbers directly determines whether you are liquidated or return with full loads.
Remember: In the crypto space, cognitive differences are the biggest leverage.
In the crypto space, you must master these seven major trend indicators and their usage, which will assist you in achieving stable compound returns in the crypto market.
In trading, some say that trend trading is the most profitable trading, but it is also the easiest to fail. So, how can one profit using trends?
The trend is the direction of market movement, primarily categorized into two types: upward (bullish) trends and downward (bearish) trends.
Trend traders typically use some technical analysis tools, such as trend indicators, to identify trends and trade accordingly.
Finally, after extensive research, it is found that among the many indicators, the seven major trend indicators recognized as the most profitable are highlighted below, analyzing their pros and cons, and how to make full use of these indicators to choose appropriate strategies to gain profits.
01 Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are the most famous trend indicator and are very popular among retail traders. Bollinger Bands were designed by American stock market analyst John Bollinger based on the statistical principle of standard deviation, with two main uses:
Show trend conditions;
Measure market volatility.
As shown in the above figure, the Bollinger Bands (the green line in the figure) closely follow price movements.
Generally, the middle band of the Bollinger Bands is the moving average+, such as EMA (Exponential Moving Average). The upper and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands closely follow price movements; the closer these two lines are, the lower the volatility in the market.
So, how do you trade using Bollinger Bands? In a bearish trend, pay attention to the following points:
1) Are there a series of lower lows? If yes, it typically indicates a bearish trend.
2) Enter the bear market according to the upper band of the Bollinger Bands.
3) Set take-profit and stop-loss.
Note: Most traders set take-profits at the middle band of the Bollinger Bands and set trailing stops at breakeven.
The advantage of trend indicators like Bollinger Bands is that they help traders quickly identify trends.
When the price hovers between the middle and upper bands of the Bollinger Bands, it indicates that it is currently in a strong bullish trend.
When the price hovers between the middle and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands, it indicates that it is currently in a strong bearish trend.
For risk-tolerant traders, the middle line of the Bollinger Bands is the best entry point. However, one thing to note is that the trend must be strong enough to act as resistance in a bearish market.
At this point, additional indicators are needed to help confirm the strength of the trend, specifically the ADX indicator.
02 ADX Indicator
The ADX indicator is one of the most essential indicators that trend traders need to master, as it can help traders confirm the strength of the trend.
For example: in a strong bullish trend, traders may choose not to sell at resistance levels because the price may continue to rise. Similarly, in a strong bearish trend, buying at support levels may not be wise, as the price may continue to fall. Therefore, understanding the strength of the trend can help traders determine which trading strategy to adopt.
The ADX refers to the Average Directional Index, which moves between 0 and 100. When the ADX is below 20, it indicates a weak trend; when above 40, it can provide traders with suitable entry opportunities.
The ADX indicator needs to be analyzed in conjunction with Bollinger Bands. As shown in the above figure:
There are three points to sell in the Bollinger Bands, namely where the price moves in the opposite direction of the upper band.
At the same time, the ADX indicator in the figure below is between 20-40; from left to right, the price approaches the upper band of the Bollinger Bands in an upward trend. However, at this time, the ADX value is close to 20, indicating that the trend strength is not significant, and selling can be done at the resistance level.
The ADX indicator can help traders confirm the strength of a trend, allowing them to adjust risk and positions accordingly.
However, the ADX also has a drawback, as it lags behind price action. It can be analyzed alongside other trend indicators, such as the SAR indicator.
03 SAR Indicator (Parabolic Indicator)
The SAR indicator, also known as the Parabolic Indicator, was developed by American technical analysis master J. Welles Wilder in the 1980s and is an excellent trend-following indicator.
In fact, the SAR indicator also lags behind price action, but it can help traders identify upcoming new trends in strong trends. Many traders also use it to set stop-losses.
The advantage of this indicator is that it can calculate future values based on historical values.
This means that when it draws a point on the chart indicating a bullish or bearish situation, that point will remain regardless of future price movements, providing traders with a certain reference.
Because the market rarely forms strong trends, traders usually use the SAR indicator for short-term trading or scalping.
The following figure is a daily chart of USDJPY:
In a bullish trend, the SAR indicator appears below the candlestick, revealing the price trend. In a bearish trend, the SAR indicator is above the candlestick.
Traders can use such trend indicators to profit from small market fluctuations while filtering out potential false breakouts.
In the first example in the above figure: from left to right, the SAR points change from bullish to bearish. The trader was waiting for the candlestick to close below the last SAR bullish point, but the SAR again indicated a bullish trend.
In the second example in the above figure: it shows a strong bearish trend, with the price closing below the last SAR bullish point.
In the third example in the above figure: traders can use trend indicators for scalp trading. In fact, this means that through the SDR indicator, traders can find intraday trends on a 5-minute timeframe.
04 Moving Averages
Moving averages are considered the most reliable indicators, especially the 200-day moving average, with the following main usage methods:
Sell in a bearish trend.
Buy in a bullish trend.
Understand the various moving averages of different periods and find the perfect sequence (e.g., from fastest to slowest).
Buy after a golden cross appears between the 200 and 50 moving averages.
Sell after a death cross appears between the 200 and 50 moving averages.
The following is a 1-hour candlestick chart of EURJPY:
In the above figure, the orange line is the 200-day moving average, which primarily serves to divide the market into two parts: bullish and bearish. Combining candlestick charts with moving averages can provide traders with very valuable information, as shown in the first example on the far left of the figure.
The candlestick has formed a triangle, which is a consolidation pattern.
Consolidation patterns generally form under strong trends and represent a temporarily continuous state, serving as a transitional form. Once the main force's purpose is fulfilled, a reversal follows.
In the above figure, the currency pair also immediately broke down.
However, after a period, the market began to rebound, but after coinciding with the 200-day moving average, another consolidation pattern formed.
05 MACD +
MACD is one of the indicators traders should understand. Although it is listed as an oscillating indicator on most trading platforms, it can also be used for trend analysis.
The MACD histogram is currently one of the most powerful trend tools, as it can immediately show the current trend and also predict when the trend may end.
In a bullish trend, the histogram is always below the MACD line.
When the histogram reaches above the MACD line, traders should exit, as it indicates a potential bullish reversal or at least a weakening of the previous bearish trend.
The above figure is a daily chart of USDJPY. Based on the MACD in the figure, three strong trends can be identified: two bearish and one bullish.
Additionally, it can allow traders to fully capitalize on market flash crashes.
For those trading bearish trends using the MACD trend indicator, flash crashes are not surprising; at best, they are the final stage of a bearish trend, which is also the ultimate goal of every trend trader.
06 Donchian Channel +
The Donchian Channel was proposed by Richard Donchian, designed to help traders identify trends. He is also known as the 'father of trend following.'
The Donchian Channel is both simple and complex. Generally speaking: traders should buy when the price reaches the upper resistance line of the channel and sell when it reaches the lower support line. However, since this indicator is not market-specific, appropriate adjustments should be made when using it to better assist traders.
As shown in the figure below:
The above figure shows the daily chart of USDCAD, where the blue area represents the Donchian Channel, and the red markings indicate two different situations.
Trend signals are only emitted when prices reach the upper and lower edges of the trend indicator. Additionally, traders typically enter at the rebound point in the middle of the channel, which is the orange line in the figure.
07 Aroon Indicator + (Aroon Indicator)
The Aroon indicator was created in 1995 by Tushar Chande. This indicator helps traders predict trend changes by calculating the number of periods since the price reached recent highs and lows.
The Aroon indicator has two lines, Aroon Up and Aroon Down. Additionally, unlike other trend indicators, this indicator is located at the bottom of the chart in a separate window. It can measure changes and strength of the trend.
The two lines of the Aroon indicator are very important, especially the places where these two lines intersect.
When Aroon Up crosses Aroon Down, a bullish trend will appear.
When Aroon Down crosses Aroon Up, a bearish trend will appear.
The above figure is the daily chart of USDCHF. As a major currency pair, the price changes of this currency pair largely depend on the dollar.
Therefore, its market volatility is relatively large, as shown in the above figure, where many trends also appear even in daily timeframes.
In the above figure, the blue line is Aroon Down, and the orange line is Aroon Up. Vertical lines are drawn to visually show the price when the two lines intersect, as mentioned earlier, the crossing of the two Aroon lines marks the beginning of an important trend.
08 Finally
As trading continues to evolve, trend indicators are becoming increasingly popular, and the rapid development of the internet allows traders to easily use various indicators on any chart.
However, traders also need to be aware that most trend indicators were developed before the currency market emerged, so they all have varying degrees of lag.
In this case, relying on a single indicator cannot accurately reflect price changes. We can use some small tricks to reduce the lag of indicators, such as combining the Bollinger Bands and moving averages.
In summary, for traders, repeatedly experimenting with the trading strategies and trend indicators you wish to use, setting stop losses and appropriate risk-reward ratios, will help you seize important market trends to achieve profitability, even if indicators have lag.
How much can you earn in a bull market with a hundred thousand? The secret ordinary people can also double their investments!
The wind of the market has begun to blow again. Holding a hundred thousand, do you dare to step into this emotional vortex? Today, we won't talk about contracts or the tricks of traders; we will only discuss the hardcore logic of spot trading. Money is a number, but fluctuations are hidden in the palm of market emotions—it is like an invisible wind, pushing prices up while flipping hearts. Are you ready? Let's take apart this emotional fabric and see how it affects your wealth path.
1. Holding Coins: Calmly counter the emotional storm.
The safest strategy is to hold coins. Split the hundred thousand into two halves—half into Bitcoin (BTC) and half into Ethereum (ETH), and then wait patiently. BTC and ETH are the cornerstones of the crypto space; they have high market recognition, and although there is volatility, they are more like safe havens compared to other coins. In a bull market, these two typically easily multiply tenfold; turning ten thousand into a million is just a matter of time. Historical data shows that BTC rose from a few cents to several tens of thousands of dollars, not by luck but by long-term value. Market emotion, however, is a troublesome factor—during rises, mania makes people want to chase; during falls, panic urges them to cut losses. The core of holding coins is calmness; 80% of people cannot withstand the emotional ups and downs, either running away during small rises or collapsing during big drops. Investment psychology says this is the 'herd effect' at play: do you run with the crowd? Turning ten thousand into a million is luck; holding a million to change your life is awakening. The bull market asks you: Are you chasing rises and falls, or searching for your inner anchor? It whispers: wealth is the shadow of emotion; what do you want to take from this play? Share it out, and ask your friends: After the bull market, what have you seen clearly?
2. Altcoins: Amplifiers of Frenzied Emotions.
Want higher returns? Altcoins are an option. These cryptocurrencies with small market caps can soar like rockets in a bull market, with hundredfold returns within reach. Turning $10,000 into $1 million is not a dream—in the last bull market, SHIB, DOGE, and SOL all played this game. But the risks are terrifyingly high. Ninety percent of altcoins return to zero after the mania recedes, leaving investors in total loss. The strategy is diversification: split $100,000 into 10 parts, each $10,000, and invest in 10 potential coins. Even if nine fail, one hundredfold can turn the tide. Market emotions amplify this. In times of mania, news is rampant, and prices skyrocket; when it cools down, panic takes over, and crashes ensue. Psychology refers to this as the 'bubble cycle': emotions ignite, reason extinguishes. Are you pursuing value, or are you being led by frenzy? Altcoins are a litmus test for emotions: can you discern the boundary between passion and bubble?
3. Panic Emotion: The Invisible Killer of Bull Markets
The most insidious emotion in market sentiment is panic. It lurks like a shadow in every wave of rises and falls. During the last bull market, there were countless hundredfold coins, yet 90% of players missed out on the end—why? Panic arrived. When it rises by 30%, panic cries: 'Sell quickly, it's going to fall!' When it falls by 40%, it howls: 'It's over!' Investment psychology calls this 'loss aversion': people are inherently afraid of losing, preferring to earn less than to lose more. Thus, small rises lead to selling, and large falls to cutting losses, becoming the norm. With a hundred thousand in hand, panic emotion is your biggest opponent. Going all in is self-destruction; borrowing money is seeking death. Leaving room allows for breathing. The bull market is a magnifying glass for emotions; panic amplifies your weaknesses. Can you face it instead of being dragged down?
4. Belief: A Beacon in the Torrent of Emotions
The key to making big money is not what you buy but how long you hold it. Market emotions are like floods, driving prices up in frenzy and crashing them in panic; 90% of people get washed away. How did BTC go from a few cents in 2009 to a major national reserve today? It wasn't short-term speculation but the faith of its supporters. Imagine you have $20,000 in cash and $20,000 in BTC; which do you choose? Those who pick coins are looking not at the present but at the future. In a bull market, selling after a 50% rise is driven by panic, while cutting losses after a 50% drop is a symptom of mania. Psychology says belief is the root of 'long-termism': it allows you to ignore emotional noise and head straight for value. Throwing a hundred thousand into a bull market, belief is your trump card. Market emotions are winds that blow away the superficial, leaving patience. Do you believe this torrent will carry you high?
5. Awakening: Market emotion is a mirror of life.
With a hundred thousand principal thrown into the bull market, how many times can it multiply? Holding BTC and ETH, a tenfold return is a gift after emotional withdrawal; betting on altcoins, a hundredfold return is an egg of madness at the peak. But money is merely a door knocker; market emotions are the directors of this play. They teach you to wait with calmness, test your greed with frenzy, challenge your courage with panic, and set your direction with belief. The bull market is not only a stage for prices but also an examination of human nature. Rises and falls are the surface; emotions are the driving force, and you are the protagonist of this play. Investment psychology says market sentiment is the reflection of 'group thinking': do you run with the herd? Turning ten thousand into a million is luck; holding a million to transform your life is awakening. The bull market questions you: Are you chasing rises and falls, or are you seeking your inner anchor? It whispers: wealth is the shadow of emotions; what do you want to take away from this play? Share it out and ask your friends: After the bull market, what have you seen clearly?
Giving roses to others leaves a lingering fragrance; thank you for your likes, follows, and shares! Wishing everyone wealth freedom in 2025!
The martial arts secrets have been shared with you; whether you can become famous in the world depends on yourself.
I am Mi Shao. Follow me for more valuable insights to help you turn your fortunes around!
