Current price: 0.9225 USDT
24h volatility: +3.83%
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🧠 Multi-frame technical analysis
• 15-minute frame: Price is slightly up but MA99 remains resistance (1.0275). MACD is weak, RSI is neutral.
• 1-hour frame: RSI touched overbought threshold (78), price near resistance. MACD is positive but volume is weak.
• 4-hour frame: Clear uptrend, RSI ~67, MACD maintains upward.
• Daily frame: Encountering strong resistance at MA7/25 (0.9540–0.9581), RSI is neutral leaning bearish, daily MACD is negative.
📉 Summary: Short-term uptrend is weakening, price is approaching strong resistance area on the daily frame.
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📊 Trading strategy
1. Spot Trading (medium/long-term)
❌ Not recommended to open Spot position at this time because:
• Price has not exceeded daily MA resistance
• Long-term MA is still pointing down
• No clear fundamental support factor
📌 Prioritize observation, only buy back if the price exceeds 0.9600 with high volume and confirms breakout.
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2. Futures Trading (short-term)
✅ Short-term Short scenario (priority)
• Entry: 0.9550
• Stop loss: 0.9650
• Take profit: 0.8870
• Success probability: ~60%
🎯 Reason: 1-hour RSI > 70, touching strong resistance area on the daily frame, daily MACD weakening.
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⚠️ Warning:
• If BTC continues to drop sharply below 106,000 USDT, the entire altcoin market may be negatively affected. In this case, it is recommended to stay out or Short earlier if a reversal is confirmed.
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📌 Principle:
• Minimum RR ratio 1:2
• No FOMO when the price has increased >3% from the recent bottom
• Always set SL to manage risk