Current price: ~$11.36 (+73% in 24h)
Trend: Strong uptrend across all timeframes, but has entered the overbought zone on the 1h–4h timeframe.
🧠 Quick analysis:
15m timeframe
• MA: MA7 > MA25 > MA99 → Uptrend
• RSI: 42–58 → Neutral
• MACD: Currently crossing down → May have slight adjustment
• Volume: Decreasing → Buying pressure temporarily weakens
1h timeframe
• MA: Strong increase, MA7 > MA25 > MA99
• RSI: 77–79 → Overbought
• MACD: Still increasing
• Volume: Above average → Strong cash flow
4h timeframe
• MA: Stable uptrend
• RSI: 75–88 → Extremely overbought
• MACD: Strong increase
• Volume: Very high → Strong FOMO signal
📉 Trading strategy
Spot (medium term, no leverage):
• Wait for a correction to the 10.7–11.0 area (MA25 on 4h timeframe) before entering a buy order.
• Stop loss below 10.5
• Take profit at the 13.0–13.5 area
• Success probability: ~60%
⚠️ No FOMO, the price has increased too quickly and RSI is overbought on larger timeframes.
Futures (short term, with leverage):
Scenario 1 – Buy the dip (priority)
• Entry: 10.7–11.0
• SL: 10.5
• TP: 13.0
• R:R ratio: ~1:3
• Enter only when RSI 1h is at 50–60 → Safer
Scenario 2 – Buy on breakout (backup)
• Entry: When the price breaks 11.5 with strong volume
• SL: 11.0
• TP: 12.5–13.0
• Probability: ~30%
Scenario 3 – Reverse downtrend
• Entry: If the price breaks below 10.5
• SL: 11.0
• TP: 9.5
• Low probability: ~10% but needs attention
⚠️ Warning:
• RSI on larger timeframes is very high → susceptible to sudden sell-offs.
• Do not use high leverage, prioritize waiting for a correction.
• If BTC drops below $106,000, all analysis may be invalid.
