FED announces FOMC minutes, quick summary
→ FED does not change interest rates, choosing to 'wait and see' due to ongoing economic uncertainties, especially from tariffs.
→ Inflation continues to be a concern: Almost all FED members believe inflation will be more persistent than expected, largely due to unclear tax policies under Biden.
Economic growth expectations have been lowered for 2025-2026. FED acknowledges that the risk of recession is 'almost on par' with the baseline scenario.
This could lead to: Increased unemployment rate, stagnant or declining wages, weakening job market.
Current interest rate: 4.25% – 4.5% with the possibility of remaining unchanged.