There have always been people asking you why you don't call it Long Er, is it because of bias? Let me explain a few things briefly.
One important reason I don’t call it is:
If I call it, some coins might reach their peak, and they would be overexposed.
It’s important to know that most of the Long Zi and Long Sun are aiming at those who missed out and are anxious about Long Yi. In situations where liquidity is not sufficient, not many project teams have the vision to really aim for a big outcome; their goal is to take profits as they come.
Look at the situation after every big Doge moment before: after $Trump came $Wife Coin, after Mila came $Pepe, after $Moodeng came various strange frogs, and besides $Doge when liquidity was extremely abundant, there was also $Shib, and besides $Orid, there was also $Sats. In most cases, Long Er is pretty difficult.
Recently, many KOLs have shared the same viewpoint:
How can a coin I shout out, even with a clear address, just get overexposed? ( @connectfarm1 has said this, Maojindao has said this, and there should be many others who have as well.)
Because many setups in the front row are precisely targeting the head of the car, or the following orders/fans/liquidity brought in by the head of the car. This logic is similar to the situation before where people were waiting for CZ to flip the card.
The wealth effect on @BNBCHAIN has just started, and I currently judge that liquidity is not good enough to be extremely abundant, which can support Long Zi and Long Sun to take off significantly. So for project teams I don't understand, and when the narrative doesn’t have a particularly unique and convincing angle, I will be very cautious to shout, and I would rather miss out.
Of course, me not shouting does not mean that I can't play; if the market cap is small, there’s no problem with aiming for big gains with a small investment. If the position is good, I will also play with a small amount, but it must be timely profit-taking.
If the market cap is already high, then asking me to take over the second stage because of the concept of 'Long Er,' or even to call my fans to jump in, is impossible. If the project hasn’t surged to Alpha, then a major influencer shouting is basically the ideal exit point.
So I might as well patiently wait for the next project that I feel has its unique angle and potential to reach 100M before I shout, there will definitely be one.