The most feared thing is not misjudging the direction, but that you bought early, couldn't add more, and then the price rose back just enough to break even.
Take SUPER for example, I made my first investment in mid-February, but the second purchase I planned at the 0.3 level didn’t get executed, so the average cost didn’t go down.
Now it's just back to break even; selling it feels unsatisfactory, and the moving average shows signs of structural reversal; keeping it feels awkward, as the high odds range for adding more overlaps with the initial investment position....
